Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d509af454a770b0109fdcdec4317a47427335d44b7d08b1703ac40b3ae01e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dorado Gamingof Dorado Gaming, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Dorado Gaming | 22c | 1,201$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.69 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Citadel Gaming | 78c | 984.75$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.1 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Citadel Gaming | 62c | 596.46$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.77 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Dorado Gaming | 38c | 256.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dorado Gaming | 33c | 208.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Dorado Gaming | 79c | 199.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Dorado Gaming | 49c | 186.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…3548backed Dorado Gaming | 79c | 182.37$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Citadel Gaming | 55c | 182.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dorado Gaming | 69c | 147.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Citadel Gaming | 63c | 147.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 360 | 44.7%161 W · 199 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked Citadel Gaming | 78c | 142.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…eaa8backed Dorado Gaming | 37c | 124.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Citadel Gaming | 69c | 116.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Citadel Gaming | 45c | 110.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 302 | 46.4%140 W · 162 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Citadel Gaming | 70c | 107.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 206 | 35.4%73 W · 133 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Citadel Gaming | 71c | 104.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Citadel Gaming | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Dorado Gaming | 74c | 97.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Citadel Gaming | 55c | 95.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Dorado Gaming | 46c | 90.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed Dorado Gaming | 48c | 89.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Dorado Gaming | 37c | 89.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dorado Gaming | 36c | 87.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Dorado Gaming | 55c | 72.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…7e98backed Citadel Gaming | 64c | 70.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Dorado Gaming | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Citadel Gaming | 29c | 49.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dorado Gaming | 45c | 48.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Dorado Gaming | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…8faebacked Dorado Gaming | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Citadel Gaming | 78c | 30.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Citadel Gaming | 64c | 29.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…c1f3backed Dorado Gaming | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Citadel Gaming | 77c | 25.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 483 | 57.1%276 W · 207 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Dorado Gaming | 80c | 21.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Citadel Gaming | 76c | 15.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Citadel Gaming | 78c | 13.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDorado Gaming won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 WinnerDorado Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.