Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e3e61910124706a6f2b1c8a1dacce8fb4c21807c70bb61317a6b91a3bb42a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dorado Gamingof Dorado Gaming, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Citadel Gaming | 0c | 6,987$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Citadel Gaming | 41c | 2,462$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.56 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Dorado Gaming | 61c | 1,791$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.32 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Citadel Gaming | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Dorado Gaming | 33c | 1,196$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.43 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Citadel Gaming | 2c | 1,114$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Citadel Gaming | 73c | 1,098$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.65 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Dorado Gaming | 27c | 795.06$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed Citadel Gaming | 24c | 725.75$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Dorado Gaming | 28c | 683.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.07 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Citadel Gaming | 67c | 593.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.97 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Citadel Gaming | 67c | 488.89$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.56 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Dorado Gaming | 28c | 406.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.45 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Dorado Gaming | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Dorado Gaming | 55c | 324.3$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Dorado Gaming | 65c | 308.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Dorado Gaming | 65c | 186$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Citadel Gaming | 54c | 180.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Citadel Gaming | 55c | 171.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Dorado Gaming | 28c | 169.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Dorado Gaming | 33c | 155.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…5e77backed Citadel Gaming | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Citadel Gaming | 42c | 145.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…0a62backed Dorado Gaming | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Citadel Gaming | 67c | 129.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Citadel Gaming | 14c | 109.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Dorado Gaming | 27c | 83.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…1321backed Dorado Gaming | 55c | 63.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Citadel Gaming | 76c | 51.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Dorado Gaming | 55c | 32.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 169 | 50.3%85 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Citadel Gaming | 36c | 30.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…8faebacked Citadel Gaming | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Dorado Gaming | 55c | 20.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonDorado Gaming won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDorado Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.