MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcd85c53933ffcfeddd84580608adcb35bde948fcc8c31d3c957b13b32ca1b0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Texas Rangers, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 38,866$18,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,996.25 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 31,000$15,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,190 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 21,496$11,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,318.2 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 16,716$10,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880.17 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.97 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…357abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 14,394$7,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 13,297$6,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,295.18 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 13,033$6,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,205.62 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Texas Rangers | 20c | 11,370$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.29 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 9,747$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Texas Rangers | 23c | 8,991$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.38 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 7,836$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 7,062$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.03 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 7,014$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.77 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 6,454$4,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.54 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 5,309$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.23 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 5,126$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.53 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 3,870$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.47 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 3,633$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.26 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 3,361$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,924$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.53 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,750$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.68 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.92 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Texas Rangers | 20c | 1,985$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 1,844$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.92 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Texas Rangers | 8c | 1,772$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 1,736$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.74 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 9c | 1,620$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 1,594$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 1,504$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.74 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,504$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.27 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,119$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.69 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed Texas Rangers | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,046$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 1,029$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 999.99$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8e…b1babacked Texas Rangers | 23c | 998.33$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 988$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 974.27$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…cddbbacked Texas Rangers | 9c | 939.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 928.96$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 928.56$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 833.68$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.51 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 736.37$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 728.4$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.63 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 724.48$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.33 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 716.81$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 705.25$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 701.52$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 623.81$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 598.95$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 597$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.56 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 594.75$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 592.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.81 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Texas Rangers | 20c | 591.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 555.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Texas Rangers | 19c | 554.42$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 525.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Texas Rangers | 9c | 521.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 517.07$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 502.44$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 494.45$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.28 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas Rangers | 26c | 484.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 456.72$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 455.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Texas Rangers | 32c | 444.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 420.26$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 419.61$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Texas Rangers | 3c | 405.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 402.02$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.97 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 389.94$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Texas Rangers | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 366.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.35 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 366.34$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Texas Rangers | 9c | 363.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 345.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 340.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…19c0backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 334.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 324.38$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 285.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 259.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 252.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 250.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Texas Rangers | 20c | 243.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 242.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9659backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c23…9d76backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 240.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Texas Rangers | 11c | 240.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Texas Rangers | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 237.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.