Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb042b8f6f785dbc1a127121601d177ad5509f9ecc699335927bffbe0cf1dd490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 73c | 3,720$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.35 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 79c | 2,677$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.83 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 22c | 2,455$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 2,329$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.61 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 1,904$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.03 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 56c | 1,737$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 1,115$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.44 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Yes | 69c | 573.7$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 41c | 572.62$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.71 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 24c | 512.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.98 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 21c | 468.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.3 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 67c | 421$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.01 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 58c | 345.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…7066backed Yes | 22c | 322.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 22c | 281.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 241.73$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56f…437dbacked Yes | 55c | 215.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 79c | 192.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…9112backed No | 79c | 177.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 79c | 175.06$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 138.77$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 137$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 49c | 115.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 53c | 115.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…7acabacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 74c | 98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 29c | 86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 81.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Yes | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed No | 79c | 74.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 70.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d5…e05dbacked No | 78c | 67.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 40c | 65.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 33c | 60.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…6c2dbacked Yes | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked No | 79c | 56.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…4c30backed No | 79c | 56.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes | 25c | 51.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 51.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 33c | 51.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ef36backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…5e6fbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 46.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked No | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…298bbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 49c | 35.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…7299backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…2a9fbacked No | 79c | 21.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 64c | 20.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed No | 79c | 14.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…3973backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.