TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7879…3653backed Yes60c24,139$14,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,5921957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No39c15,872$6,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,681.791338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No40c13,817$5,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,290.072941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No40c8,601$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,160.35549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes63c5,913$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750.4575142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c4,859$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.669851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes60c4,409$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.47443.2%32 W · 42 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes61c3,630$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21434547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c3,531$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.172,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c3,512$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.111,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yes53c1,837$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45ba…9ed6backed Yes62c1,314$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes11c1,186$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.571,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-60.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No38c999.86$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.916256.5%35 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes57c809.02$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.1422669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes45c778.6$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35038055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No53c681.39$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.571,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No39c624.99$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.2422047.3%104 W · 116 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes57c614$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No52c612.92$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4148141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Yes50c528.54$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2661136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c457$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.043,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x100c…1c2cbacked Yes50c445.5$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes79c435.27$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.861478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No40c432.17$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.616755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No37c420$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No37c415.44$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No39c390$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.918545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No37c380.69$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1949647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No39c369.58$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8319446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006761.2%41 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No40c318.34$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1913641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Yes55c318$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.185466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes66c304.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes57c297.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.542369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No39c291.92$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0720645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes61c291.47$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-56.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes35c287.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5419458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No41c279.56$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9440744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505375.5%40 W · 13 L+10.0wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+41.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No38c253.37$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8629855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes57c250.88$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1435964.4%38 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Yes60c238.54$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes64c234.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes21c232.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.92035%7 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes60c227.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.792161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes43c226.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3312141.3%50 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes44c224.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No38c210$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.25156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12213142%55 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f89…e85bbacked Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes60c197.69$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3833047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes61c195.08$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1192045%9 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed No39c187.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.373036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes49c183.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No39c181.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.421,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e9…39b7backed Yes61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Yes59c169$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.711346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No40c162.15$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2910246.1%47 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No38c159.7$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5962452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No38c157.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.883935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Yes66c151.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939850%49 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes79c149.69$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2617749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No36c149.46$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.659721.6%21 W · 76 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1432…bc7fbacked Yes38c132.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c125.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0533945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes61c125$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7242046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No39c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.26457.8%37 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c116.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9756951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No35c107.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.592259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4556…2b3cbacked Yes19c107.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No43c106.89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4381732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No47c105$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9411762.4%73 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.521450%107 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7433737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No40c98.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0412056.7%68 W · 52 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0878248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ff…4f66backed No40c96.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+87.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No65c92.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd1…da99backed No68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.