Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16922263e06b8cd4f753451460b6e59cb5ecd66aa8bdfba2e18e390aff19a5dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ed…459dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,537$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 2,726$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.68 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 20c | 1,911$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.14 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,188$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 18c | 677.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 20c | 668.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 601.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 492.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 11c | 311.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 299.49$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 34c | 276.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 66c | 276.82$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 201.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 136.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b8…98d8backed Yes | 12c | 119.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 110.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 15c | 92.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 19c | 89.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 21c | 87.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 18c | 78.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 35c | 68.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 52.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 35c | 51.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed No | 72c | 39.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…298bbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 79c | 13.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-04-05?No won
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.