Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x129d3bdec092d53760b02162b9699f1c01dd3d622ee55fcdba04b67dc16484c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 21,038$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 75c | 15,207$11,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.81 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed PARIVISION | 78c | 15,122$11,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.16 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 7,469$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.4 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 5,371$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.55 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 5,018$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.39 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 4,606$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.97 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION | 76c | 4,185$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.97 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 4,181$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.13 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed PARIVISION | 72c | 3,598$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.38 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 3,157$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.58 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 3,060$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.9 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed PARIVISION | 73c | 3,041$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.23 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 72c | 2,950$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.78 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,894$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.64 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 2,815$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,809$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.65 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 74c | 2,786$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.42 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,533$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.99 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 73c | 2,287$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.41 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 2,221$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.62 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 2,152$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.02 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 2,121$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.42 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,111$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.09 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,058$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.41 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,952$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.94 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,780$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.45 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,597$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,580$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.2 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,518$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.66 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,435$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.14 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,401$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.36 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 1,341$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,280$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.02 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed PARIVISION | 78c | 1,271$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.1 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,263$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,222$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.41 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,075$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 971.08$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 968.22$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 910.02$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.22 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 773.45$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 690.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 673.67$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 667.17$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 75c | 654.29$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.71 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 653.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 636.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.66 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed PARIVISION | 77c | 617.86$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 578.43$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 543.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 69c | 537.19$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.89 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 534.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.42 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed PARIVISION | 77c | 513.84$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 513.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 508.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed PARIVISION | 73c | 505.34$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed PARIVISION | 68c | 490.39$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 476.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 446.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 76c | 415.1$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed PARIVISION | 72c | 398.36$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed PARIVISION | 74c | 396.9$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…610bbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 390.95$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 384.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 384.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 383.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed PARIVISION | 66c | 359.93$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 359.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa360…4799backed PARIVISION | 74c | 344.87$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed PARIVISION | 67c | 329.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed PARIVISION | 72c | 299.81$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 72c | 297.73$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed PARIVISION | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 235.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked PARIVISION | 74c | 216.83$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9cdcbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 209.9$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 209.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 74c | 201.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked PARIVISION | 70c | 200.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 200.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION | 76c | 198.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed PARIVISION | 74c | 198.02$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed PARIVISION | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 195.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 191.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 186.09$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…e897backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 173.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed PARIVISION | 77c | 167.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PARIVISION | 72c | 165$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 153.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…4e20backed PARIVISION | 74c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.