Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64db9c8c890dc20d8d7b47745f5e59f944d0f752e3a3b36821ef0a796d667563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f9c…c2c8backed PARIVISION | 78c | 2,771$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,573$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.27 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,246$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.74 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,371$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,353$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,275$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 1,213$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,154$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.91 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,136$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.72 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,025$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.25 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 926.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 898.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 820.23$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.26 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 764.45$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 747.77$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 743.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION | 75c | 689.5$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed PARIVISION | 74c | 664.47$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.76 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 656.67$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 637.2$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 593.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 592.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…1721backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 484.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 475.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed PARIVISION | 74c | 465.59$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 451.59$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 444.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 436.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 341.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 325.69$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed PARIVISION | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 254.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 231.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed PARIVISION | 76c | 230.17$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 221.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 205.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86d…575fbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 199.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 199.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed PARIVISION | 74c | 198.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked PARIVISION | 77c | 190.84$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION | 73c | 182.27$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 168.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 160.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…a616backed PARIVISION | 75c | 146.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed PARIVISION | 73c | 144.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 143.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…d188backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 141.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 138.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed PARIVISION | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 130.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 127.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked PARIVISION | 76c | 98.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed PARIVISION | 74c | 97.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 96.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 96.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 74c | 93.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 92.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 79c | 86.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 78.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed PARIVISION | 78c | 75.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed PARIVISION | 73c | 75.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed PARIVISION | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 64.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d1…6e8ebacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 54.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 53.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…e33ebacked PARIVISION | 74c | 50.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 47.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8f…f631backed PARIVISION | 78c | 46.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 39.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed PARIVISION | 78c | 38.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…57d9backed PARIVISION | 76c | 32.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed PARIVISION | 74c | 27.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PARIVISION | 75c | 23.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…69fabacked PARIVISION | 77c | 21.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed PARIVISION | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed PARIVISION | 76c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed PARIVISION | 76c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.