CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Marsborne (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b65c2fc11187be62b791f50a693ff8b19b6ee68c9be914940b4f86b16f4d51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof Galorys, Marsborne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Marsborne | 33c | 1,210$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.3 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Galorys | 57c | 924.26$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.44 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Marsborne | 58c | 573.08$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.39 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galorys | 44c | 547.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.32 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Marsborne | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.26 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Galorys | 42c | 498$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.84 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galorys | 67c | 463.88$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Galorys | 43c | 438.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Galorys | 67c | 245.05$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…5308backed Marsborne | 57c | 233.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Galorys | 67c | 225.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 359 | 48.5%174 W · 185 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Marsborne | 26c | 223.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Galorys | 67c | 196.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne | 52c | 189.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Marsborne | 57c | 153.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Galorys | 42c | 147.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Marsborne | 57c | 128.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Marsborne | 59c | 95.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Galorys | 67c | 87.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Marsborne | 59c | 81.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Galorys | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Galorys | 79c | 62.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Galorys | 46c | 62.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…298bbacked Galorys | 47c | 61.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Marsborne | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Marsborne | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Marsborne | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Galorys | 72c | 48.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Marsborne | 58c | 46.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marsborne | 27c | 44.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Marsborne | 57c | 43.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Galorys | 42c | 42.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Marsborne | 60c | 41.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marsborne | 48c | 41.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…5bb2backed Galorys | 43c | 40.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Galorys | 70c | 40.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Marsborne | 53c | 36.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Marsborne | 53c | 32.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Galorys | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Marsborne | 57c | 19.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Marsborne (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Marsborne - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.