TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$401,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$438,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No49c79,000$38,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,709.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Yes51c69,166$35,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,891.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No2c55,730$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.281,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked No50c44,420$22,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,130.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No0c21,883$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.14368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c17,016$8,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,559.1362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes50c15,399$7,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,645.2752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a3…3688backed Yes51c10,300$5,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,047955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Yes49c10,147$4,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,167.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Yes50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes50c8,041$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,021.031952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked No52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.992040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No50c6,525$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.521143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed No50c5,599$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x358d…f465backed No50c5,528$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes51c4,341$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.1823250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No5c4,146$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc29…f1bbbacked No2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.974057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No2c3,606$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0345233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes50c3,300$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c3,286$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.1587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Yes49c3,282$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No49c3,082$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No50c2,938$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4698254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes50c2,800$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40414654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No50c2,239$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.820150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No48c2,180$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.256952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No9c2,155$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.551,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No13c2,052$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes48c1,486$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.673354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Yes71c1,407$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No15c1,386$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes49c1,193$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.256141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No49c1,179$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.9930448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No1c1,174$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes50c990$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes52c957.38$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+73.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes52c819.95$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.284365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes50c763.61$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.817946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes51c750$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes49c638.09$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.342138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed No50c573.7$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.211729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No30c506.88$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.019960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes50c502$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1073…d8babacked Yes50c485.03$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No29c481.82$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.733458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Yes52c481.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.732369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No26c440.66$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.83568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c427.18$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7724044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No31c398.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.588058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes50c396.07$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.733847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes51c387.38$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.821060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No50c370$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes48c357.98$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.481040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes71c318.57$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.121163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked No9c276.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.93425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c0…837dbacked Yes70c263.24$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No36c260.83$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.35763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No17c258.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.831942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No34c250.34$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.035463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No4c230.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No49c224.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No49c205.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.784751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes48c205.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.472334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No47c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3214544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No50c195.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9512367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47dc…298bbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes50c183.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.533948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No50c164.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.414050%20 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No50c164.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.43268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes49c162$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9646450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes53c161.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.732441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No11c151.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.273154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No50c147.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.813360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Yes50c141.07$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.543943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.