Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1fe9ddcfe50adbb6262e8c3fdfd32f62edf85591e70345061f1b4543d28c6da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 7,195$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.22 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 2,858$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 76c | 2,566$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…150dbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,971$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 10c | 1,475$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 1,009$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 965.89$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.81 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 24c | 816.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.37 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 717$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 670.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.87 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 602.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.66 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…bf99backed No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 24c | 346$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 300.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 23c | 274.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 259.64$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 77c | 231.16$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 23c | 206$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 23c | 206$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 23c | 206$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 23c | 206$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 77c | 198.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 22c | 190.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 23c | 188.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 176.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 24c | 175.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 126.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 12c | 125.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 23c | 113.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 106.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed No | 78c | 102.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 24c | 101.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…73d2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 23c | 99.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 23c | 82.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 23c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…f70bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 39.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 75c | 37.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2e75backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e6…8311backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.