Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b143973db5b30fa4ec21fef094be3a687e0e9f2df905cc7e61b9bb8934d924c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 1,763$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 3c | 999.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 72c | 849.76$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 742.51$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 3c | 737.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 406.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 28c | 231.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 80c | 198.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 172.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 80c | 158.63$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 24c | 154.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 142.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…c3d8backed No | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 74c | 115.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d5…e05dbacked No | 76c | 87.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 26c | 83.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed No | 75c | 73.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 68.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 66.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 61.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 60.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 73c | 25.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 80c | 19.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed No | 76c | 16.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.