Other European Leagues · resolved market
Odense BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe888c9e5186c533ba7e5a3924b97dba49fa18bd936d9b5a2b72b7d4a8bc6f23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 1,072$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.78 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 855.17$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.2 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 46c | 756.52$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 54c | 248$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…e883backed Over | 12c | 172.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 41c | 146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…298bbacked Over | 46c | 109.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 82.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 45c | 76.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 65c | 59.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 65c | 59.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 65c | 59.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 65c | 58.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 65c | 58.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 65c | 58.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 65c | 58.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 54c | 55.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 62c | 54.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 62c | 51.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Over | 44c | 49.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 57c | 44.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 55c | 41.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 55c | 41.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 55c | 41.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 55c | 36.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 55c | 28.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 80c | 23.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 78c | 21.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 76c | 19.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Odense BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5this page
- Odense BK vs. FC Fredericia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Odense BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 1.5Under won
- Odense BK vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-1.5)Odense BK won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)Odense BK won
- Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.