Cricket · resolved market
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Norway
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a66ea4370866c3d57c1fbd37027d8c498e2f19e1d7add3887b504d26307b912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portugalof Portugal, Norway
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x523e…3128backed Norway | 17c | 1,660$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Portugal | 78c | 1,638$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.46 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Norway | 23c | 1,122$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.71 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Norway | 33c | 765.93$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.53 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Norway | 25c | 653.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Portugal | 78c | 651.73$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Norway | 18c | 558.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Portugal | 68c | 558.9$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Norway | 26c | 477.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Norway | 21c | 394.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Portugal | 65c | 350.12$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portugal | 74c | 323.49$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norway | 17c | 309.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Portugal | 70c | 304.18$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Portugal | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Norway | 27c | 191.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Portugal | 65c | 143.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Portugal | 73c | 143.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Portugal | 76c | 124.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…298bbacked Norway | 41c | 116.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Norway | 24c | 111.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Portugal | 76c | 108.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Norway | 27c | 102.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Norway | 29c | 95.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Norway | 30c | 89.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Portugal | 74c | 53.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…4375backed Norway | 38c | 50.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…7e99backed Portugal | 72c | 48.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed Norway | 31c | 47.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Norway | 32c | 44.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Portugal | 76c | 41.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…aa5dbacked Portugal | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Norway | 31c | 37.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Portugal | 62c | 30.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Portugal | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Portugal | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Norway | 36c | 28.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Portugal | 57c | 27.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Portugal | 77c | 25.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…9df5backed Portugal | 76c | 23.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Portugal | 80c | 17.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…22c0backed Portugal | 69c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Portugal | 72c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.