TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x805d…9df5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Blockx vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.58
Monza: Arthur Fery vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.54
Set 1 Winner: Fomin vs Wendelkenbacked Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.75
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.53
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.8
Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Raul Brancacciobacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.19
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Philip Sekulicbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.7
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs August Holmgrenbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.43
Sarasota: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Campinas: Murkel Dellien vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.98
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Federico Arnaboldibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.21
Campinas: Juan Bautista Torres vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.65
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.24
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.79
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Dominika Salkovabacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.94
San Luis Potosi: James Duckworth vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.52
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.64
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: David Goffin vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.84
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.1
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.65
Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.62
Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.26
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.23
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.06
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Eastleigh FC vs. Yeovil Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.65
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.38
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.82
Beijing Ducks vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$5.27
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.1
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.57
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.86
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.32
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+128.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.24
JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$22.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.36
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Norwaybacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Cooper win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.