TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Beijing Ducks vs. Nanjing Monkey King

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beijing Ducksof Beijing Ducks, Nanjing Monkey King
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Ducks72c34,397$24,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,659.9213046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nanjing Monkey King35c15,417$5,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,369.8916828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nanjing Monkey King27c3,776$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.7536939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Nanjing Monkey King30c3,473$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.8437052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Nanjing Monkey King21c3,467$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.73336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac2…f47cbacked Beijing Ducks74c1,962$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Beijing Ducks53c1,890$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.292748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nanjing Monkey King46c1,803$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.1854251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nanjing Monkey King28c1,478$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.845848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Beijing Ducks50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Beijing Ducks45c1,084$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Nanjing Monkey King15c1,076$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.642441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nanjing Monkey King32c967.11$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.286844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Nanjing Monkey King7c916.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.258611.6%10 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed Beijing Ducks78c909.64$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.02560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Nanjing Monkey King21c908.63$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.681471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Nanjing Monkey King14c831.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.295152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Beijing Ducks41c805.11$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.5614037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Nanjing Monkey King17c777.04$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4922231.5%70 W · 152 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Nanjing Monkey King29c697.72$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.031526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nanjing Monkey King16c625.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8524430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Nanjing Monkey King19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Beijing Ducks44c488.21$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nanjing Monkey King24c487.63$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6118144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Beijing Ducks43c449.82$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Nanjing Monkey King15c437.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-66.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Nanjing Monkey King47c427.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.063145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nanjing Monkey King25c379.05$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9334344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Beijing Ducks76c360.09$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nanjing Monkey King56c344.95$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.246142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Nanjing Monkey King17c333.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.63850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Nanjing Monkey King22c314$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.081127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1570…de29backed Nanjing Monkey King9c289.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.921942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nanjing Monkey King33c278.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2828943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nanjing Monkey King27c268.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4125517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Nanjing Monkey King33c265.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.526544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nanjing Monkey King24c257.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5113545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Beijing Ducks55c253.76$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.165271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Nanjing Monkey King46c246.94$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.433740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Nanjing Monkey King20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Nanjing Monkey King23c237.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.461442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nanjing Monkey King49c223.58$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.584946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Nanjing Monkey King20c214.68$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.942227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Beijing Ducks60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Beijing Ducks50c193.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.972634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Nanjing Monkey King20c180.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.181145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Nanjing Monkey King33c160.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.612634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Nanjing Monkey King33c159.34$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.672236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Nanjing Monkey King20c151.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.334734%16 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Nanjing Monkey King35c149.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.252231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Nanjing Monkey King24c139.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5510926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Beijing Ducks35c130.93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.684660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Nanjing Monkey King14c130.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.85922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Beijing Ducks55c127.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.115565.5%36 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Nanjing Monkey King20c121.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Nanjing Monkey King14c120.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.462729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Nanjing Monkey King50c112.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.212744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Ducks49c110.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0935234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Beijing Ducks51c100.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.131050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Nanjing Monkey King50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Nanjing Monkey King20c97.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4513751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x440d…351fbacked Beijing Ducks67c90.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.775100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nanjing Monkey King14c89.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.496061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Nanjing Monkey King36c85.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Nanjing Monkey King33c80.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Nanjing Monkey King43c79.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4528…c882backed Beijing Ducks40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Beijing Ducks71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.82475%18 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x230d…d0c5backed Beijing Ducks49c71.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nanjing Monkey King24c70.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5921535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nanjing Monkey King42c69.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.472250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Nanjing Monkey King43c68.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Nanjing Monkey King42c68.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.787944.3%35 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Nanjing Monkey King43c67.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Beijing Ducks44c66.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.321258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Nanjing Monkey King44c65.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.972045%9 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Nanjing Monkey King18c65.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x304a…05ecbacked Beijing Ducks44c65.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.742433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Nanjing Monkey King44c65.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Nanjing Monkey King38c65.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.788544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nanjing Monkey King51c64.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.615959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Ducks32c64.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4843543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Nanjing Monkey King30c63.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nanjing Monkey King45c62.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.165541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Nanjing Monkey King28c62.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.554434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Nanjing Monkey King30c61.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.821060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Nanjing Monkey King38c60.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.131435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Nanjing Monkey King45c55.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Nanjing Monkey King41c52.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2513220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75d5…5cacbacked Beijing Ducks64c51.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Nanjing Monkey King45c49.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Nanjing Monkey King30c47.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Nanjing Monkey King46c47.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.921050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Beijing Ducks44c47.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.552642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Nanjing Monkey King33c40.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.012245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Beijing Ducks77c38.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.841070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Beijing Ducks64c37.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.519748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Nanjing Monkey King45c33.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.972040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Beijing Ducks60c32.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked Nanjing Monkey King45c32.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.