Tennis · resolved market
Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Raul Brancaccio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e707fff706e2935c8f284da017a4798703fdb8bc564cc21caaf8a7008521e4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefano Travagliaof Stefano Travaglia, Raul Brancaccio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raul Brancaccio | 21c | 2,989$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefano Travaglia | 74c | 2,496$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.93 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Stefano Travaglia | 69c | 1,689$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.59 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Stefano Travaglia | 74c | 1,496$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.21 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Raul Brancaccio | 27c | 1,434$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.43 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Raul Brancaccio | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Raul Brancaccio | 31c | 1,083$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.93 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b45…4145backed Raul Brancaccio | 2c | 995.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Raul Brancaccio | 32c | 991.11$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Raul Brancaccio | 32c | 989.47$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.53 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…e597backed Stefano Travaglia | 73c | 868.77$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 30c | 844.01$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Stefano Travaglia | 74c | 666.47$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…83f7backed Raul Brancaccio | 15c | 651.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Stefano Travaglia | 71c | 529.78$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stefano Travaglia | 79c | 506.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Raul Brancaccio | 9c | 493.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…9917backed Stefano Travaglia | 70c | 487.56$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Raul Brancaccio | 26c | 439.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Raul Brancaccio | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Stefano Travaglia | 74c | 371.04$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Raul Brancaccio | 27c | 313.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Raul Brancaccio | 16c | 308.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 289.32$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Stefano Travaglia | 77c | 279.29$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Raul Brancaccio | 25c | 278.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Raul Brancaccio | 25c | 270.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefano Travaglia | 72c | 221.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Raul Brancaccio | 27c | 208.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Stefano Travaglia | 72c | 197.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Stefano Travaglia | 75c | 186.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Raul Brancaccio | 26c | 174.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Raul Brancaccio | 26c | 164.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Raul Brancaccio | 26c | 155.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Raul Brancaccio | 25c | 152.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 145.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Stefano Travaglia | 73c | 135.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Stefano Travaglia | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -20.8wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Raul Brancaccio | 30c | 132.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Stefano Travaglia | 70c | 125.04$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…281ebacked Stefano Travaglia | 79c | 122.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 72cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Raul Brancaccio | 13c | 115.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Raul Brancaccio | 27c | 114.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 110.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 106.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Raul Brancaccio | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefano Travaglia | 79c | 106.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Raul Brancaccio | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raul Brancaccio | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 72.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Raul Brancaccio | 26c | 71.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Raul Brancaccio | 26c | 71.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Raul Brancaccio | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Stefano Travaglia | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Stefano Travaglia | 76c | 50.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 236 | 34.7%82 W · 154 L | -37.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 30c | 43.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Raul Brancaccio | 28c | 41.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Stefano Travaglia | 71c | 38.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Stefano Travaglia | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Stefano Travaglia | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…bfa7backed Stefano Travaglia | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 282 | 65.6%185 W · 97 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 25.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 25.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 112 | 63.4%71 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…2f27backed Stefano Travaglia | 69c | 25.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Stefano Travaglia | 74c | 24.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Stefano Travaglia | 71c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Stefano Travaglia | 74c | 19.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 172 | 69.2%119 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…9df5backed Stefano Travaglia | 74c | 16.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Stefano Travaglia | 66c | 15.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Stefano Travaglia | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.