Euroleague · resolved market
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Jiangsu Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f91abf9e4422ac330e71a0bee7b86c3e67708a3544f73e5adb56f713471c685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nanjing Monkey Kingof Nanjing Monkey King, Jiangsu Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nanjing Monkey King | 79c | 6,362$5,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.48 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Jiangsu Dragons | 19c | 3,506$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.26 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nanjing Monkey King | 69c | 1,261$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.42 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Jiangsu Dragons | 29c | 1,013$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Jiangsu Dragons | 30c | 816.84$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.05 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 23c | 538.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 492.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Jiangsu Dragons | 28c | 463.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nanjing Monkey King | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Jiangsu Dragons | 28c | 338.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…fadebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 31c | 295.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jiangsu Dragons | 24c | 270.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Jiangsu Dragons | 23c | 251.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…e639backed Jiangsu Dragons | 27c | 229.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Nanjing Monkey King | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nanjing Monkey King | 79c | 195.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 27c | 187.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 21c | 159.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Nanjing Monkey King | 68c | 140.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Nanjing Monkey King | 74c | 132.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 34c | 131.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 129.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked Nanjing Monkey King | 77c | 128.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 114.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 46c | 108.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 11c | 104.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…f78fbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 77c | 101.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jiangsu Dragons | 28c | 96.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 86.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c1…2ba9backed Nanjing Monkey King | 72c | 81.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Jiangsu Dragons | 19c | 77.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…cb3fbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 35c | 76.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 73c | 73.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 61.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Nanjing Monkey King | 76c | 45.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 74c | 41.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 75c | 36.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nanjing Monkey King | 75c | 28.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Nanjing Monkey King | 71c | 20.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 77c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…d1a4backed Nanjing Monkey King | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…9df5backed Nanjing Monkey King | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.