Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab98ecab5ceffcd2938593854bf8e668bff8da64d0150dfaf64f41d9dbbb4d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swedenof Indonesia, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Sweden | 53c | 3,617$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.46 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indonesia | 46c | 2,135$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.96 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Indonesia | 50c | 1,273$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.37 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indonesia | 44c | 674.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sweden | 74c | 595.1$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Indonesia | 46c | 525$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.91 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sweden | 56c | 469.74$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Sweden | 72c | 339.19$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Indonesia | 46c | 338.09$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Sweden | 52c | 278.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Sweden | 58c | 251.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Sweden | 71c | 232.43$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Indonesia | 60c | 201$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Indonesia | 24c | 197.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Indonesia | 42c | 176.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Indonesia | 57c | 171.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Indonesia | 24c | 171.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sweden | 60c | 165.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Indonesia | 37c | 162.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Indonesia | 44c | 160.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Indonesia | 47c | 156.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Indonesia | 51c | 153.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Indonesia | 47c | 146.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Indonesia | 33c | 144.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sweden | 55c | 131.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Indonesia | 40c | 127.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Indonesia | 40c | 114.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Indonesia | 47c | 106.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Indonesia | 48c | 99.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…7e99backed Sweden | 58c | 95.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Indonesia | 60c | 88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Indonesia | 44c | 82.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…9df5backed Sweden | 75c | 69.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Indonesia | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…6432backed Sweden | 39c | 61.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Indonesia | 18c | 56.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…43d5backed Indonesia | 60c | 50.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Sweden | 54c | 48.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Sweden | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Sweden | 58c | 32.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Indonesia | 46c | 32.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Sweden | 47c | 29.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Sweden | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Indonesia | 47c | 28.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Indonesia | 46c | 25.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Indonesia | 47c | 25.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Indonesia | 51c | 24.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sweden | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Sweden | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Indonesia | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…3aaabacked Sweden | 54c | 18.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.