TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Aleksandar Vukic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pedro Martinezof Pedro Martinez, Aleksandar Vukic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Aleksandar Vukic7c21,524$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.498,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Aleksandar Vukic16c4,949$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.92,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Aleksandar Vukic28c2,735$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.8130542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Aleksandar Vukic7c2,067$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.469737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Pedro Martinez72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56072452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Aleksandar Vukic13c1,998$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.093,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46c1…2ba9backed Aleksandar Vukic5c1,932$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.311421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Pedro Martinez73c1,509$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4457645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Pedro Martinez72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Aleksandar Vukic25c991.54$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.471,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Aleksandar Vukic28c895.71$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.81,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Pedro Martinez73c694.05$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.393243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5792…6481backed Aleksandar Vukic11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513222%29 W · 103 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Aleksandar Vukic41c467.01$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9865651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Aleksandar Vukic16c352.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2240548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed Aleksandar Vukic14c338.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.421442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Pedro Martinez73c337.92$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2454450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked Aleksandar Vukic14c335.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.426816.2%11 W · 57 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-55.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Pedro Martinez65c301.59$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.818868.6%129 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Aleksandar Vukic23c300.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.722,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…d098backed Pedro Martinez73c265.89$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.793857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Aleksandar Vukic27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Aleksandar Vukic44c241.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8724350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Aleksandar Vukic27c232.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8958734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Aleksandar Vukic15c229.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5136944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Pedro Martinez70c199.38$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.941662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Aleksandar Vukic8c168.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1325134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Pedro Martinez73c157.68$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5721959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Aleksandar Vukic27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Pedro Martinez72c140$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Pedro Martinez74c137.02$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6235268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Aleksandar Vukic26c134.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.077,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Pedro Martinez73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3984963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked Pedro Martinez73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3910474%77 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick73cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Aleksandar Vukic8c134.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.916,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Aleksandar Vukic18c132.59$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7728541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa78e…b6c9backed Pedro Martinez76c129.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7911865.3%77 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6826…d188backed Aleksandar Vukic13c118.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.223517.1%6 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Pedro Martinez67c117.64$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8729461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Aleksandar Vukic16c109.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9712831.3%40 W · 88 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f87…4a86backed Pedro Martinez73c107.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.113540%14 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Aleksandar Vukic28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Aleksandar Vukic19c99.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Aleksandar Vukic27c88.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9253544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Aleksandar Vukic18c85.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.444229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcafd…b0f7backed Aleksandar Vukic22c82.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Pedro Martinez72c82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9696755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Pedro Martinez67c78.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8889364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…05b8backed Aleksandar Vukic15c70.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Aleksandar Vukic28c67.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.043,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Aleksandar Vukic36c67.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3381047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Aleksandar Vukic35c67.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4438754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Aleksandar Vukic28c63.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7885250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Pedro Martinez79c62.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1260661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Pedro Martinez72c54.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3453457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Pedro Martinez71c53.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3323758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Aleksandar Vukic26c52.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.714,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e85…560dbacked Aleksandar Vukic37c51.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pedro Martinez56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Aleksandar Vukic27c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.554050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Aleksandar Vukic28c47.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.436349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Pedro Martinez74c44.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6947252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f7…f5dcbacked Aleksandar Vukic23c44.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Pedro Martinez68c41.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.284,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Pedro Martinez73c41.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2810860.2%65 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Pedro Martinez74c39.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.382,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf79…97cabacked Pedro Martinez72c38.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.916165.6%40 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Pedro Martinez63c37.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7165264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Aleksandar Vukic27c36.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Pedro Martinez65c36.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.649764.9%63 W · 34 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Pedro Martinez71c33.14$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.618555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7c…8ab4backed Pedro Martinez73c22.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.26863.2%43 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6660…2398backed Pedro Martinez57c22.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ca…d910backed Pedro Martinez74c20.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.282360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Pedro Martinez77c19.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4617656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x805d…9df5backed Pedro Martinez64c18.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.652676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b6…ac34backed Pedro Martinez74c18.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8310353.4%55 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Pedro Martinez74c16.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3312861.7%79 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.