TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf79…97ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT6165.6%40 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Sonja Zhiyenbayevabacked Rina Saigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.02
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swanbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Mondaybacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Foggia: Andreea Prisacariu vs Nika Radisicbacked Andreea Prisacariu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Perugia: Cezar Cretu vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.38
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Emerson Jonesbacked Mika Stojsavljevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$58.22
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Aidan Mayobacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Kosice: Federico Bondioli vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.31
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
ITF Louny: Adrian Oetzbach vs Lilian Marmousezbacked Adrian Oetzbach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Paris: Emma Navarro vs Katie Volynetsbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Michael Zhengbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.05
Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cuibacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Jiujiang: Elena Micic vs Taylah Prestonbacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.38
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.44
Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Diletta Cherubinibacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.53
Aix en Provence: Clement Chidekh vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.48
Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alexandr Bindabacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Huzhou: Jessica Pieri vs Sijia Weibacked Sijia Wei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.66
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.91
Savannah: Franco Roncadelli vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.59
Abidjan: Aziz Dougaz vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzschbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.64
Santa Cruz: Franco Ribero vs Luis Guto Miguelbacked Franco Ribero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.41
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$38.76
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.97
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.21
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.15
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.45
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14.38
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.31
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.33
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.28
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.05
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.06
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.49
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.34
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.