Tennis · resolved market
Perugia: Cezar Cretu vs Jacopo Vasami
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6e7e690708f084ea6bf00e38aed568eeeee325523d66c2ee99994b130a557fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacopo Vasamiof Cezar Cretu, Jacopo Vasami
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jacopo Vasami | 63c | 2,883$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.63 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cezar Cretu | 14c | 1,607$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Cezar Cretu | 7c | 1,409$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Cezar Cretu | 41c | 1,406$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.26 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Cezar Cretu | 23c | 1,319$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Cezar Cretu | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Jacopo Vasami | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Jacopo Vasami | 58c | 1,070$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.49 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Cezar Cretu | 52c | 1,022$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Cezar Cretu | 43c | 999.94$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.97 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cezar Cretu | 21c | 986.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…a3f9backed Cezar Cretu | 5c | 901.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cezar Cretu | 44c | 654.65$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.04 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Jacopo Vasami | 47c | 560.7$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Cezar Cretu | 20c | 467.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cezar Cretu | 44c | 444.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Jacopo Vasami | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Cezar Cretu | 6c | 427.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cezar Cretu | 19c | 339.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Jacopo Vasami | 56c | 330.68$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jacopo Vasami | 66c | 299.12$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Cezar Cretu | 43c | 279.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Cezar Cretu | 43c | 275.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cezar Cretu | 43c | 232.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Cezar Cretu | 30c | 231.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Jacopo Vasami | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cezar Cretu | 44c | 209.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Jacopo Vasami | 59c | 206.9$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 203.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…221dbacked Cezar Cretu | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Jacopo Vasami | 69c | 157$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cezar Cretu | 40c | 155.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Cezar Cretu | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…4778backed Cezar Cretu | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cezar Cretu | 16c | 116.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Jacopo Vasami | 68c | 115.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Jacopo Vasami | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 100.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Cezar Cretu | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Cezar Cretu | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Cezar Cretu | 44c | 98.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jacopo Vasami | 56c | 95.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Cezar Cretu | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Cezar Cretu | 30c | 73.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…18a8backed Cezar Cretu | 60c | 61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…74debacked Cezar Cretu | 43c | 57.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 55.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jacopo Vasami | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cezar Cretu | 26c | 49.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf79…97cabacked Jacopo Vasami | 43c | 44.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Cezar Cretu | 57c | 44.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Cezar Cretu | 42c | 41.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Jacopo Vasami | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Jacopo Vasami | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea5…04f6backed Cezar Cretu | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Cezar Cretu | 42c | 37.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Cezar Cretu | 43c | 37.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b63…56bbbacked Cezar Cretu | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Jacopo Vasami | 58c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Cezar Cretu | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ed…8f85backed Cezar Cretu | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…254fbacked Jacopo Vasami | 58c | 31.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Cezar Cretu | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9f15backed Cezar Cretu | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…1fb8backed Jacopo Vasami | 58c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Cezar Cretu | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8da2…f1e4backed Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Jacopo Vasami | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Jacopo Vasami | 59c | 22.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…adf3backed Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 19.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…f5babacked Jacopo Vasami | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.