Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Michael Zheng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc130f2794878b188d150db822ab533d5338b35786fb8a18cb0fb7de78d6e92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomas Barriosof Tomas Barrios, Michael Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michael Zheng | 14c | 19,153$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michael Zheng | 17c | 5,652$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Michael Zheng | 12c | 4,600$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.68 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Michael Zheng | 13c | 4,053$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.85 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Tomas Barrios | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.2 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Michael Zheng | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Michael Zheng | 30c | 1,951$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.83 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 1,833$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.51 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Michael Zheng | 13c | 1,553$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Michael Zheng | 21c | 1,499$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.21 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tomas Barrios | 68c | 1,499$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.66 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Tomas Barrios | 73c | 1,219$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.18 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Tomas Barrios | 71c | 1,003$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.57 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Michael Zheng | 21c | 963.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 642.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Michael Zheng | 28c | 600$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Michael Zheng | 11c | 581.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Tomas Barrios | 79c | 535.28$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 521.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…a0e9backed Michael Zheng | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Tomas Barrios | 69c | 374$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…b09cbacked Michael Zheng | 16c | 353.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Michael Zheng | 34c | 350.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Michael Zheng | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michael Zheng | 10c | 292.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tomas Barrios | 70c | 271.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Michael Zheng | 15c | 248.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Michael Zheng | 20c | 231.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…41d0backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Michael Zheng | 26c | 183.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Tomas Barrios | 79c | 160.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Michael Zheng | 32c | 156.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 155.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Michael Zheng | 18c | 140.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tomas Barrios | 65c | 128.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Michael Zheng | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Michael Zheng | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Tomas Barrios | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tomas Barrios | 72c | 87.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Tomas Barrios | 72c | 85.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michael Zheng | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Michael Zheng | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Michael Zheng | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed Tomas Barrios | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Michael Zheng | 31c | 68.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Michael Zheng | 29c | 64.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Tomas Barrios | 79c | 63.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…471cbacked Tomas Barrios | 77c | 51.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Tomas Barrios | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Tomas Barrios | 71c | 47.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Tomas Barrios | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tomas Barrios | 71c | 41.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Tomas Barrios | 69c | 40.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Tomas Barrios | 76c | 34.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Tomas Barrios | 74c | 33.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tomas Barrios | 69c | 29.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Tomas Barrios | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 118 | 91.5%108 W · 10 L | +17.4wins | +0.15per pick | 77cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Tomas Barrios | 69c | 23.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Tomas Barrios | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Tomas Barrios | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf79…97cabacked Tomas Barrios | 68c | 18.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tomas Barrios | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tomas Barrios | 68c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tomas Barrios | 80c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Tomas Barrios | 76c | 13.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.