TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Santa Cruz: Franco Ribero vs Luis Guto Miguel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luis Guto Miguelof Franco Ribero, Luis Guto Miguel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x196e…e9d6backed Franco Ribero5c6,940$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.713043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Franco Ribero17c6,639$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.181,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Luis Guto Miguel62c4,686$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.564,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Luis Guto Miguel78c4,367$3,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.023,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Franco Ribero9c3,454$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.991,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Franco Ribero22c2,804$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.3330241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Luis Guto Miguel70c2,207$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.8746473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Luis Guto Miguel78c1,892$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.8733163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Franco Ribero8c1,558$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.718,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Franco Ribero12c1,160$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1368026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Luis Guto Miguel64c915.15$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.781,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Franco Ribero31c897.11$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.221,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Luis Guto Miguel69c892.09$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5548552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Luis Guto Miguel67c822.75$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9658048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Franco Ribero14c697.18$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8224638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Franco Ribero37c636.75$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7327749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Franco Ribero43c552.39$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.921,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Franco Ribero8c546.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.723040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Franco Ribero7c539.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7759954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Luis Guto Miguel70c533.16$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.884,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Franco Ribero30c503.47$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.871,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Luis Guto Miguel69c501.26$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3972452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Franco Ribero28c494.96$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.673,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Luis Guto Miguel63c474.39$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.081,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Luis Guto Miguel73c425.36$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.622,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Luis Guto Miguel65c413.21$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4748650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Franco Ribero13c412.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.674,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Franco Ribero11c354.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.219938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Luis Guto Miguel76c342.21$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7734847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Luis Guto Miguel76c321.09$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1336944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Franco Ribero31c307.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.871,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Franco Ribero41c301.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1838739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa534…c089backed Luis Guto Miguel68c248.92$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.652065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Luis Guto Miguel75c226.04$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.462,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Franco Ribero32c222.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.724,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Luis Guto Miguel78c220.63$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.514,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Franco Ribero28c218.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2120664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Luis Guto Miguel69c204.25$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.985,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Luis Guto Miguel74c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Franco Ribero22c199.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8850364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Franco Ribero37c188.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9851339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Luis Guto Miguel70c187.53$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.877,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449f…f386backed Franco Ribero35c173.27$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.733420.6%7 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Franco Ribero30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Franco Ribero30c148.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0160856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…072cbacked Luis Guto Miguel68c143.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.785464.8%35 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Luis Guto Miguel64c137.94$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9799056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Luis Guto Miguel79c131.13$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8774346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Luis Guto Miguel68c109.36$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.251,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Luis Guto Miguel65c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7596755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Luis Guto Miguel67c102.4$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.751,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Franco Ribero34c100.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2321949.3%108 W · 111 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Franco Ribero32c99.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.991,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Franco Ribero24c95.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.811028.8%9 W · 93 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…4bcdbacked Franco Ribero43c90.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6314333.6%48 W · 95 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Franco Ribero32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Franco Ribero32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.811050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Luis Guto Miguel76c82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Luis Guto Miguel77c78.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3173549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Luis Guto Miguel78c73.41$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.952,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Luis Guto Miguel67c69.59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1922646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Luis Guto Miguel59c67.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7877047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Franco Ribero37c66.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4944349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Luis Guto Miguel67c64.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1411040.9%45 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Luis Guto Miguel70c58.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5227566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Luis Guto Miguel79c58.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3691880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Luis Guto Miguel74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1539941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Luis Guto Miguel77c47.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0157953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b88…c1c0backed Luis Guto Miguel72c41.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.69977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Luis Guto Miguel74c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5224632.9%81 W · 165 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…adddbacked Luis Guto Miguel70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7115374.5%114 W · 39 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Luis Guto Miguel75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3318478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Luis Guto Miguel67c31.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3548440.3%195 W · 289 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Luis Guto Miguel80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Luis Guto Miguel67c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6660158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Luis Guto Miguel69c28.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6451347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf79…97cabacked Franco Ribero39c25.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.136165.6%40 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Luis Guto Miguel77c25.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.755644.6%25 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Luis Guto Miguel67c24.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8729553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Luis Guto Miguel67c23.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8357267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3db…c173backed Luis Guto Miguel67c23.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7418540%74 W · 111 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34e1…02bfbacked Luis Guto Miguel73c20.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.466168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6495…c3f7backed Luis Guto Miguel73c20.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.463076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Luis Guto Miguel74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2629039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Luis Guto Miguel74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2645235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Luis Guto Miguel74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2648235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Luis Guto Miguel74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2669438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Luis Guto Miguel74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2625737%95 W · 162 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Luis Guto Miguel63c16.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2523653.4%126 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Luis Guto Miguel64c16.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.075752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Luis Guto Miguel64c16.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.994959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.