MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a0dabb8344ebd9dd9991612dcc6b92c8fe8a629d982a7113899425ff4b94596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Miami Marlins, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 28,071$10,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,979.99 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 64c | 21,201$13,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,644.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 19,789$12,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,762.79 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 13,585$8,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,101.86 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed New York Yankees | 77c | 13,179$10,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.84 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 11,839$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,601.5 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 11,158$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.88 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed New York Yankees | 73c | 10,220$7,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.49 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed New York Yankees | 38c | 8,440$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,241.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 7,885$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.66 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 6,895$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.83 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 65c | 6,875$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 61c | 6,428$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.07 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New York Yankees | 65c | 4,947$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.63 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27c…3e53backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 4,666$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 4,476$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.24 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 4,441$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 64c | 4,416$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.65 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 4,241$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.14 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 4,200$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.92 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 3,988$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.56 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…425abacked New York Yankees | 35c | 3,705$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 3,406$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.04 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 3,323$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 2,675$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.06 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked New York Yankees | 64c | 2,581$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 2,565$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked New York Yankees | 64c | 2,507$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees | 40c | 2,498$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.22 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,389$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.39 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 2,186$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.08 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 11c | 2,069$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 2,014$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.44 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed New York Yankees | 41c | 1,690$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.16 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees | 64c | 1,522$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.06 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 42c | 1,348$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.65 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed New York Yankees | 72c | 1,344$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 1,324$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.89 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,298$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 1,237$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.95 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,204$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.78 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked New York Yankees | 27c | 1,172$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.8 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked New York Yankees | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.99 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 998.18$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.79 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 943.85$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.83 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed New York Yankees | 33c | 942.93$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.8 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 940.4$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.04 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 64c | 799.99$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 799.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Miami Marlins | 22c | 792.54$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 791.98$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed New York Yankees | 48c | 774.17$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.02 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 741.78$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.75 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 732.29$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.76 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 722.47$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 708.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.6 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 703.57$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 680.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 650.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 650.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed New York Yankees | 30c | 632.28$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.6 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees | 39c | 620.44$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed New York Yankees | 66c | 617.03$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed New York Yankees | 39c | 604.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.63 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 599.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 590.42$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 579.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 572.85$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 560.73$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.81 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 553.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 548.11$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 537.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 535.01$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.15 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed New York Yankees | 74c | 532.11$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 530.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 523.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 520.92$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 513.39$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.42 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 489.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…331ebacked Miami Marlins | 73c | 482.06$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed New York Yankees | 67c | 463.51$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Miami Marlins | 7c | 445.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 444.96$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 442.24$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 432.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 420.07$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed New York Yankees | 27c | 417.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.12 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 410.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 406.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 406.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…21f2backed New York Yankees | 48c | 403.57$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 394.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New York Yankees | 62c | 387.74$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 384.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 47c | 383.8$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Miami Marlins | 24c | 383.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.