TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2562…c15fbacked Over46c48,384$22,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,955.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+76.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c18,203$9,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,756.351,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over45c13,193$5,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,256.0741149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under55c11,100$6,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,104.9715451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over45c10,540$4,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,797.174247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under54c10,000$5,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,35055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under55c9,996$5,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,494.6936649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c4,413$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3312,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under52c4,305$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.41,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Over64c3,986$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.1151756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under36c3,268$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.186,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over46c2,419$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.2612551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Under52c1,677$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.162070%14 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+47.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c1,523$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9167849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c1,387$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.111,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,298$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.0965050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c1,159$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.399,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under47c1,111$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.081,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c1,053$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.71,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under53c967.91$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.9992054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c916.71$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.711,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over48c766.07$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3614340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Over48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8618239.6%72 W · 110 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under53c593.91$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.1865549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Over54c450.18$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.086150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c434.22$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.095,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf43…306abacked Over63c388.67$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.211656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under55c370.97$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8419452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under55c353.68$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.529255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c310.77$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.826,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over49c302.63$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4211331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9431…c484backed Under52c278.71$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over49c263.22$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.062,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Over48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9514953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under55c194.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Over45c175.14$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.331070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over44c165.45$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6561352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under49c163.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0228646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over48c151.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.728652.3%45 W · 41 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under55c143.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.521,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under54c128.13$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.192437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over66c121.96$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.484957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over48c121.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9712845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under34c114.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under54c111$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9475049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213560%81 W · 54 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5440753.6%218 W · 189 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8958…e945backed Under55c97.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca5…85edbacked Over48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.382240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1880…a421backed Over46c94.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.113452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4c…5c55backed Under54c90.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under28c88.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.531,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Under54c84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.194551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under55c79.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7924751.8%128 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under55c76.6$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.139254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under50c64.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.343,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under55c64.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.811,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under55c64.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8139351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ac…be97backed Over44c61.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.273145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under55c55.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6913343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under32c53.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.065,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over48c48.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1916553.3%88 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over47c46.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8526151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over66c44.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1446557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed Under55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.332445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over45c38.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2718751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over45c38.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2125249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under52c36.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.193,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5c…1d38backed Under55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de2…60acbacked Over45c34.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.152259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Under35c34.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.114542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c33.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.511,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under55c33.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2444347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c31.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d3…98e5backed Over67c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.661275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under55c29.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.934959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb26…8645backed Over49c28.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…6fa2backed Over46c28.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under55c27.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9811245.5%51 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under40c27.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Over45c25.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.879642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under50c24.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3426854.1%145 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under56c23.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.395848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over61c23.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.166749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Under55c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.451838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over53c22.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6431046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b02…454fbacked Over53c21.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under55c21.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.77746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under55c21.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5312761.4%78 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under52c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8417244.2%76 W · 96 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3f7…f5dcbacked Over54c20.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under52c19.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2313054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Under53c19.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.310757.9%62 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9985…9b14backed Under55c18.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.