MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dafa40ed84508ec348539b64cbeb04d5f5ff34f512a4a23227740cc508a5919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2562…c15fbacked Over | 46c | 48,384$22,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,955.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 18,203$9,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,756.35 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 13,193$5,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,256.07 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 55c | 11,100$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.97 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 45c | 10,540$4,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,797.17 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 54c | 10,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 55c | 9,996$5,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494.69 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 4,413$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 52c | 4,305$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 64c | 3,986$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.11 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 36c | 3,268$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 46c | 2,419$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.26 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Under | 52c | 1,677$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.16 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 1,523$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.91 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 1,387$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.11 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,298$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.09 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 1,159$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.08 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 1,053$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.7 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 967.91$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.99 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 916.71$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.71 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 48c | 766.07$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.36 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 53c | 593.91$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.18 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 54c | 450.18$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 434.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Over | 63c | 388.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 55c | 370.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 55c | 353.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 310.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 49c | 302.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.42 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…c484backed Under | 52c | 278.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 263.22$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Over | 45c | 175.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 44c | 165.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 163.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 55c | 143.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 54c | 128.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 66c | 121.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 114.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…e945backed Under | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Over | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed Over | 46c | 94.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Under | 54c | 90.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 28c | 88.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 54c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 55c | 79.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 55c | 76.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 50c | 64.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 64.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 55c | 64.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Over | 44c | 61.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 55c | 55.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 32c | 53.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 47c | 46.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…7b27backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 45c | 38.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 36.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…1d38backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Over | 45c | 34.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Under | 35c | 34.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 33.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 55c | 33.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 31.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d3…98e5backed Over | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Under | 55c | 29.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…8645backed Over | 49c | 28.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…6fa2backed Over | 46c | 28.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 55c | 27.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 40c | 27.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 45c | 25.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 50c | 24.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 56c | 23.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 61c | 23.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 55c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 53c | 22.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…454fbacked Over | 53c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 55c | 21.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 21.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f5dcbacked Over | 54c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 52c | 19.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Under | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…9b14backed Under | 55c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.