Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80b0a36caec6faa240a3dcc23717e6177f52e89cf1b773253efa5067d554f031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,076$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.67 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 61c | 1,993$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.08 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 41c | 731.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 720.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.69 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 544.34$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.43 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 480.69$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.33 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 59c | 398.69$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 395.06$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 60c | 205.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Yes | 61c | 199.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 165$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed No | 39c | 158.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 39c | 148.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…c53fbacked No | 66c | 131.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 38c | 92.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 86.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 40c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 62c | 50.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 30c | 39.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 39c | 39.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 36.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 62c | 34.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…8941backed Yes | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 61c | 26.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Yes | 53c | 24.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…ab20backed Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.