Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x033800947238b2c366d0d08049916eaed9de1b375d2839eca5bed129ffb13525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 2,311$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.61 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Under | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 2,132$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.32 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 54c | 1,649$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +476.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 16c | 712.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 704.47$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.32 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 453.34$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 16c | 446.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 399.88$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.94 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 68c | 380$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 61c | 292.34$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 48c | 280.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 46c | 212.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 165.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 158.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 34c | 155.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 17c | 149.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 17c | 138.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 41c | 107.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 55c | 94.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 47c | 93.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 55c | 91.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 39c | 88.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 55c | 88.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 77.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 59c | 76.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 68c | 59.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 52c | 58.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 53c | 44.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 67c | 44.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 62c | 44.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…7661backed Over | 70c | 35.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 50c | 30.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 68c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…2196backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 50c | 20.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Under | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4941backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 71c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5this page
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)Racing Club de Lens won
- Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.