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Ligue 1 · resolved market

OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over62c44,463$27,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,527.543557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under38c8,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9606547.7%31 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7204548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0009458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c4,507$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.5724948.6%121 W · 128 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over61c3,581$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1859858.2%57 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under38c3,500$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1705151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8605350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2403450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24055349.5%274 W · 279 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over61c1,800$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.993964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c1,604$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.8333345%150 W · 183 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8065552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8065054%27 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c1,226$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.551,93945.3%878 W · 1,061 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c1,115$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3091,44141%591 W · 850 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c1,054$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.6688644.4%393 W · 493 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6103828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6204748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under38c900$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5585354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over29c900$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4965451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4964548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4964753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over64c751.09$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c696.9$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.6659548.4%288 W · 307 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under38c682.36$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.5626945%121 W · 148 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under37c675.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.7213348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under38c584$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.084148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c541.11$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.4619949.2%98 W · 101 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3106753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3106150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under39c485$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8526354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under38c460$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.26456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under39c449$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8921343.7%93 W · 120 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c435.46$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under38c419.36$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2485048%24 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c380.81$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3724443.4%106 W · 138 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over54c366.1$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.361315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under37c340.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0332048.1%154 W · 166 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1865653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over35c277$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.14850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under46c259.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c250$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7527441.6%114 W · 160 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under39c240$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over63c200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.541136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1244452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under37c156.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1416748.5%81 W · 86 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over23c128.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over60c126.02$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9416644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over43c116.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over41c104.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3714352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under77c104.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.922748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under74c89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.955356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under76c82.75$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under39c82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.027648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.824151.9%125 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over13c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Over32c73.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.821414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over24c72.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.182634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under39c67.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.112729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under39c57.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.88957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b3…e861backed Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3117956.4%101 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3113855.8%77 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under77c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under39c46.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2220450%102 W · 102 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over33c45.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over61c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.455354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over58c43.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.29355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbea…7777backed Under75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over39c35.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+63.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203655.6%20 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.48643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf4c…21babacked Under41c29.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Under40c25.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d2…d7a0backed Under40c25.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…31ebbacked Under79c25.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.