Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf30af2c257b8a6cbd3912d540738b3e669a20589ec93d7ec7541c3d6bbb8468f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $444,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed No | 80c | 203,498$162,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,134.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 21c | 76,488$15,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,989.92 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 20c | 59,990$12,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,101.23 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 20c | 43,831$8,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,861.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 20,720$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.8 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 20c | 15,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 20c | 9,984$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.17 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 9,344$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.2 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 8,801$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.36 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 8,103$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.77 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Yes | 17c | 6,064$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed No | 55c | 5,445$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.95 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 44c | 4,974$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 2c | 4,332$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 19c | 3,853$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.07 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,583$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.59 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,490$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 3,155$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.96 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…e462backed No | 77c | 3,078$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 79c | 2,983$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 21c | 2,800$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…a7e0backed No | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,660$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.16 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 2,555$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.29 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 80c | 2,491$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.88 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5494…faacbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 67c | 1,679$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.72 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…4d1cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,674$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked No | 56c | 1,660$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,558$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,525$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 17c | 1,344$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.38 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 19c | 1,215$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.86 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,170$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked No | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 45c | 993.24$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 80c | 950$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 79c | 916.53$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Yes | 5c | 794.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 57c | 783.42$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.42 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…9c89backed No | 69c | 740.23$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 29c | 692.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 22c | 677.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 57c | 677.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked No | 68c | 655$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 20c | 617.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 19c | 613.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 47c | 602.96$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.36 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 581.13$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.51 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 544.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 19c | 530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 18c | 505.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 66c | 457.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed No | 77c | 438.96$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 21c | 432.61$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…f3c8backed Yes | 26c | 417.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Yes | 22c | 400.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed No | 68c | 388.02$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed No | 57c | 379.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed No | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 21c | 372.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 40c | 362.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Yes | 21c | 346.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 18c | 327.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed No | 79c | 324$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 79c | 308$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No | 66c | 302.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Yes | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 80c | 296.85$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…cfb7backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed No | 54c | 278.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked No | 58c | 241.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 7c | 226.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 54c | 225.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Yes | 45c | 221.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 21c | 215$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…f00abacked Yes | 33c | 210.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…b799backed No | 66c | 205$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked No | 67c | 194.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 47 | 85.1%40 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed No | 56c | 179.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 42c | 171.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.