Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b31d589e8008526536a4c620e352aeb59fb59451bcae97fbb34d63aa30f8ae8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6068…aa5cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,265$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 6,121$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.65 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 23c | 2,300$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 80c | 2,222$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…0dbcbacked No | 70c | 1,285$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 78c | 1,173$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.27 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 38c | 1,027$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…edabbacked Yes | 38c | 972$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 26c | 953.93$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.02 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 78c | 939$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.58 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 76c | 855.54$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 18c | 838.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 61c | 833.33$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 14c | 774.9$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 521.42$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.92 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 17c | 492$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…6977backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…9771backed Yes | 40c | 415$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…26c6backed Yes | 32c | 410$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 23c | 409.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 23c | 353.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 23c | 352.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…a1b6backed Yes | 29c | 342.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 30c | 338.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 300.15$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 279.86$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 264.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…f3c8backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 79c | 220.29$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…8aa1backed Yes | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 20c | 211.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 210.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 205.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…1208backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 179.79$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 22c | 177.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…6605backed Yes | 28c | 176.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…c5b3backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 165.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 155.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 21c | 142.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…e36cbacked Yes | 21c | 135$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes | 17c | 128.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…7defbacked No | 80c | 123.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 77c | 121.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked Yes | 26c | 115.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…f00abacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…35aebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 26c | 96.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…e74bbacked Yes | 26c | 96.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 79c | 85.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…b6abbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked No | 77c | 82.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a151backed Yes | 26c | 76.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 23c | 70.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes | 25c | 65.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…9e0cbacked Yes | 23c | 63.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…1a9dbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Yes | 24c | 62.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6471…42a1backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Yes | 29c | 47.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Yes | 27c | 44.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 44.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 26c | 44.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…8b2dbacked Yes | 28c | 43.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 80c | 41.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…ff2cbacked No | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…cb14backed No | 72c | 20.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 13.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.