Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0600e34fef12a43b56c8b5fddac5edf1fbfe72665bd9547d3fb84ff36cbfed18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 24,784$13,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,881.31 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 36c | 13,795$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,804.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 51c | 9,954$5,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,877.5 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 8,141$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.22 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 66c | 7,293$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 66c | 4,950$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.78 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 3,707$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.72 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Yes | 65c | 1,489$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…206dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,226$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 80c | 1,097$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.03 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 37c | 962.2$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.19 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 19c | 810.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.9 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 1c | 799.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 14c | 700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 630.49$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 15c | 484.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 472.18$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 444.35$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed No | 43c | 436.43$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 34c | 403.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 66c | 296.83$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 66c | 284.08$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…95c3backed Yes | 51c | 214.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 214.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…75b2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed No | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Yes | 51c | 193.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 164.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed No | 35c | 164.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 34c | 158.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 58c | 147.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 60c | 121.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 64c | 119.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked No | 79c | 108.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 55c | 90.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 60c | 90.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 17c | 84.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 61c | 82.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked No | 36c | 79.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 49c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes | 35c | 69.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 56c | 68.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 38c | 64.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 22c | 62.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 75c | 61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 34c | 52.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed No | 36c | 51.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 37c | 50.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 25c | 50.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed No | 36c | 44.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 70c | 43.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 64c | 41.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Yes | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42eb…a02dbacked Yes | 65c | 37.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 63c | 30.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…0e4cbacked Yes | 73c | 27.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1c…ddeebacked No | 62c | 27.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…ab20backed Yes | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Over won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.