Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff812cd559f9be264190c71e940c92500376dbce7f0dceaca872dc741cc50528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 61c | 14,824$9,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,768.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 61c | 5,843$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.87 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 37c | 4,139$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.58 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 3,475$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.62 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 39c | 3,372$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.04 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 3,237$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.03 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…541fbacked Under | 39c | 3,010$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 58c | 2,676$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.11 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 2,055$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 1,696$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.15 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,672$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.7 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over | 61c | 1,601$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,515$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.04 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 63c | 1,467$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.68 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 1,341$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.08 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 13c | 1,300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 51c | 1,287$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Over | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 1,043$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.38 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 39c | 995.41$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.21 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 39c | 963.4$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.73 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 932$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 13c | 850$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…a5a3backed Over | 62c | 788.64$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 15c | 783.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 39c | 681.38$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.74 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…44dcbacked Over | 42c | 597.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 54c | 585.76$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.75 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 40c | 562$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 60c | 537.27$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 60c | 537.27$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 15c | 527.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 521.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.29 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 39c | 481.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 63c | 465.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 458.73$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.16 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 38c | 455.18$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 60c | 416$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 39c | 404.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 39c | 404.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 39c | 356.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 63c | 317.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 312.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 43c | 295.47$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 61c | 236.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 43c | 222.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 60c | 209$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 202.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 52c | 201.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 198$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 40c | 178.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 61c | 163.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Over | 13c | 144.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 37c | 134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…0fefbacked Over | 60c | 128.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 124.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 40c | 121.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 40c | 121.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 42c | 104.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 47c | 104.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Under | 39c | 98.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 41c | 98.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…3c48backed Over | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 37c | 86.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 50c | 81.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 39c | 73.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 39c | 73.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 39c | 73.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 39c | 73.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 39c | 73.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Over | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…be5abacked Under | 40c | 62.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 42c | 60.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 39c | 60.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 61c | 57.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Under | 38c | 55.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 40c | 48.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 47.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Over | 62c | 47.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.