Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5f503a0e000487546961a5cbd75568fdd3fb34c17db652ee7140ce91b7dbb97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 67c | 18,924$12,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,176.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.97 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 13,297$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 7,108$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.97 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 66c | 6,304$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.33 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 5,655$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.3 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 33c | 2,585$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.46 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 67c | 2,217$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 2,191$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.31 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 1,992$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.19 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 34c | 1,900$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.97 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 67c | 1,896$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 32c | 1,823$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 34c | 1,801$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 66c | 1,693$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Under | 44c | 1,433$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 33c | 1,376$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.95 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 72c | 1,350$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.71 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 33c | 1,209$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.03 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 36c | 1,072$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 999.66$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.88 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 35c | 980.44$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.71 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 67c | 980.2$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 963.85$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.73 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 36c | 961.6$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 940.52$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.68 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 52c | 900$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 55c | 884.92$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.83 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 47c | 863.69$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.03 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 33c | 800$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.71 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 28c | 765.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 33c | 761.66$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.02 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 58c | 632.59$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 619.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 615.31$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.27 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 35c | 586.11$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.08 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 34c | 571.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 20c | 513.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.15 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 25c | 465.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.04 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 65c | 451.85$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 66c | 400.66$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 10c | 397.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.93 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 388.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 34c | 381.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 66c | 371.06$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 65c | 344.27$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 319.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 34c | 317.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 313.3$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 34c | 301.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 65c | 299.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…859ebacked Over | 67c | 298.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Over | 66c | 297.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…ab9bbacked Under | 52c | 233.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 64c | 229.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 33c | 207.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 33c | 206.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 33c | 203$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 201.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…8166backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 63c | 199.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 38c | 191.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 179.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 177.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Over | 66c | 175.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…6165backed Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 33c | 155.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 32c | 151.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 151.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 34c | 150.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 143.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 57c | 138.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 26c | 138.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 34c | 137.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 65c | 130.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Under | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 66c | 127.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Over | 67c | 112.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Over | 56c | 104.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Over | 67c | 102.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Over | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.