Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef37c87a8207c9686fcffca48c7290247da39fcbabf21995f155a947b31d466a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.98 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 11,889$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 9,957$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 58c | 6,216$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 3,561$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.07 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 3,561$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.85 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 2,646$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.07 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 55c | 1,293$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.87 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 59c | 1,237$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.31 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 33c | 894.75$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 35c | 644.78$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.09 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 33c | 581.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 67c | 452.43$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 33c | 427.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 67c | 399.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 63c | 388.02$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 32c | 258.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 32c | 247.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 61c | 247.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 68c | 245.2$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 35c | 242.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.02 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked No | 8c | 235.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 32c | 207.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Yes | 57c | 197.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 40c | 182$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 160.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 156.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed No | 32c | 156.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Yes | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 49c | 147.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e19…1495backed Yes | 68c | 147.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Yes | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 39c | 124.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 41c | 116.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 56c | 114.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 68c | 111.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 67c | 102.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…6a68backed Yes | 67c | 102.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 68c | 99.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Yes | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 52c | 83.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 37c | 78.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 32c | 74.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 68c | 72.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 56c | 69.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 32c | 69.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Yes | 53c | 58.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 33c | 56.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 57c | 55.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed No | 34c | 54.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Yes | 55c | 54.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Yes | 67c | 52.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 68c | 50.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 45c | 49.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 42.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 43c | 35.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 46c | 33.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 45c | 31.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Yes | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 52c | 31.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 30.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 44c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Yes | 59c | 29.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 67c | 29.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 90 | 68.9%62 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c89…1c52backed Yes | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c307backed Yes | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…b6eabacked Yes | 50c | 26.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…c2f5backed No | 41c | 24.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 67c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…9199backed Yes | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked No | 55c | 20.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 62c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2875…94f8backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…46a4backed Yes | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 67c | 19.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.