TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2875…94f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Santos: Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Franco Roncadellibacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.72
Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Belluccibacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lysbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$26.48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Brazzaville: Reda Bennani vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Paulo Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$37.02
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.9
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.6%+$183.63
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmohbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.5
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$72.93
Saint-Malo: Yue Yuan vs Anna Blinkovabacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$52.79
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Saint-Malo: Bianca Andreescu vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$16.35
Ostrava: Jonas Forejtek vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$23.39
La Bisbal: Ashlyn Krueger vs Storm Hunterbacked Storm Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Savannah: Nick Hardt vs Jack Kennedybacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Oeiras 4: Lucie Havlickova vs Fiona Ferrobacked Lucie Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38%+$16.26
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.22
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+214.5%+$43.04
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$32.47
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$27.33
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$107.15
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.48
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.77
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+659.3%+$82.3
All 6 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$672.64
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.