Tennis · resolved market
Santos: Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Franco Roncadelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eefc8d390367fd4981ff604b9fe071d8717c85387243ef45d6ad1aa1ffaffc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franco Roncadelliof Joao Eduardo Schiessl, Franco Roncadelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 7c | 6,630$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.71 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 16c | 4,036$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.83 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 8c | 3,537$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.75 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 76c | 1,317$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.11 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 12c | 817.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Franco Roncadelli | 67c | 740.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.97 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 15c | 466.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 30c | 405.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 11c | 390$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 11c | 343.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Franco Roncadelli | 65c | 332.19$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.27 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 34c | 297.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a1…2dbebacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 4c | 260.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 11c | 226.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 31c | 177.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 20c | 175.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2875…94f8backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 18c | 146.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Franco Roncadelli | 68c | 146.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…ddedbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Franco Roncadelli | 67c | 133.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Franco Roncadelli | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Franco Roncadelli | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Franco Roncadelli | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 34c | 44.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Franco Roncadelli | 66c | 37.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 33c | 35.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 75c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos: Joao Eduardo Schiessl vs Franco Roncadellithis page
- Schiessl vs. Roncadelli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.