TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmoh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michael Mmohof Niels Visker, Michael Mmoh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b9…ff15backed Michael Mmoh78c36,306$28,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,134.555957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Niels Visker28c27,523$7,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,758.088,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michael Mmoh47c24,213$11,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,936.4911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Niels Visker24c8,016$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.031,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Michael Mmoh46c7,751$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.852,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e26…e4d1backed Niels Visker11c7,100$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79610436.5%38 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Michael Mmoh45c6,673$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.2848851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…9885backed Niels Visker33c5,473$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-71.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Michael Mmoh78c5,351$4,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.21,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Niels Visker40c5,014$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.5254345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Niels Visker40c4,922$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.344,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Niels Visker23c4,142$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.411,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Michael Mmoh49c3,216$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.9628348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michael Mmoh41c3,183$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.868,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Michael Mmoh45c2,764$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.229754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Michael Mmoh70c2,740$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.3894068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Michael Mmoh65c2,572$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.14,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Michael Mmoh48c2,500$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.5727431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michael Mmoh56c2,438$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.423,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfb…84a6backed Niels Visker34c2,311$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.6112814.1%18 W · 110 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Niels Visker38c2,302$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.996,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f6…615bbacked Niels Visker33c2,263$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7406845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Michael Mmoh49c2,084$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.619167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x482f…7504backed Niels Visker49c1,789$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.786068.3%41 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Niels Visker26c1,779$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.835932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Michael Mmoh76c1,776$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.3629952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Niels Visker23c1,759$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.41,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Niels Visker54c1,667$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90062061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Niels Visker27c1,603$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.846,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Michael Mmoh68c1,472$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.9862545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michael Mmoh63c1,429$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.297,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Michael Mmoh55c1,395$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.631,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…ad74backed Niels Visker33c1,222$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.251225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Michael Mmoh46c1,152$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.764,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9235…224dbacked Michael Mmoh66c1,110$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.44269%29 W · 13 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Niels Visker47c1,069$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.262,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf677…0e56backed Michael Mmoh49c1,060$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.3128350.5%143 W · 140 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Michael Mmoh49c974.85$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.8554547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Niels Visker16c968.73$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.165346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Niels Visker32c950.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Niels Visker2c950$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450%0 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Michael Mmoh67c890$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.55660.7%34 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fc…03b0backed Michael Mmoh63c873.1$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.15745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Niels Visker23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Niels Visker40c815$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3264,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcae…fe45backed Michael Mmoh47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4243762.2%23 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ce3…07b5backed Niels Visker58c749.42$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.071338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Niels Visker38c739.15$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.752,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Michael Mmoh42c714.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.641,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Michael Mmoh35c705.71$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.7135730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Niels Visker33c705.4$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23046030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Mmoh76c700$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.219,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2b…d4eabacked Niels Visker62c648.7$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.22171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Michael Mmoh45c637.44$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7430844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Michael Mmoh80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12550458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Michael Mmoh37c577.75$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3675748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b6…70ffbacked Niels Visker64c562.89$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36020352.2%106 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Michael Mmoh51c528.9$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.752155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Michael Mmoh48c521.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.457321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Michael Mmoh63c507.94$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9444448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Michael Mmoh74c505.56$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.516552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Niels Visker37c476.48$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17684736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Niels Visker43c467.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Michael Mmoh76c461$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.647,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Niels Visker9c452$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0217617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Niels Visker49c443.23$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1732240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Michael Mmoh46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7838739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6a…ed83backed Niels Visker53c424.53$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22513432.8%44 W · 90 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Michael Mmoh66c410.23$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.152,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Niels Visker26c403.19$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1227247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Niels Visker23c391.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9096035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2875…94f8backed Niels Visker35c383$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.52934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Niels Visker8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3069438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f44…1c0bbacked Michael Mmoh41c366.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Niels Visker30c332.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.658655.8%48 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Michael Mmoh45c329.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.881,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Niels Visker24c306.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1440548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Michael Mmoh64c302.91$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2765157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Niels Visker36c301.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.72560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Michael Mmoh69c299.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.45244.2%23 W · 29 L-8.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-33.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Niels Visker10c280$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.829039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Niels Visker10c280$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.825737%95 W · 162 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Michael Mmoh43c279.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0768857.3%394 W · 294 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Michael Mmoh44c270.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.454139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Michael Mmoh58c270.02$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.283,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Niels Visker25c267$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7246040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Niels Visker32c266.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.074,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Michael Mmoh65c264.39$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Niels Visker31c254.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7922020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Michael Mmoh75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.54,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Michael Mmoh53c247.55$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.421,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Niels Visker48c238.2$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.465,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Niels Visker26c231.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Michael Mmoh67c230.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.342,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3509…3e5abacked Niels Visker7c227.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Niels Visker41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8260943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Niels Visker63c197.56$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4622550.2%113 W · 112 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Niels Visker36c194.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x415c…d51ebacked Michael Mmoh41c192.93$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9314325.9%37 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Michael Mmoh69c191.3$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.316961.5%104 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.