Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07265522a88c40ebf80967148de8ccd76dac81e4f660c48894ac3e9dc6353705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 14,543$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.62 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 1,180$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 6c | 1,153$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes | 25c | 1,097$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 1,065$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,057$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 14c | 875.09$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 866.73$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 12c | 661.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 643.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 11c | 599.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 9c | 497.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 17c | 435.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 18c | 417.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 5c | 395.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 386.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 4c | 380.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 19c | 340.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 15c | 296.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 20c | 239.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 11c | 230$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 13c | 205$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 23c | 176.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 23c | 175.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 11c | 172.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 172.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Yes | 25c | 155.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…d005backed Yes | 8c | 149.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 15c | 139.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9b71backed Yes | 17c | 138.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 123.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…f704backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2875…94f8backed Yes | 13c | 106.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Yes | 19c | 100.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 17c | 95.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 12c | 94.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 18c | 92.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 18c | 90.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 17c | 90.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 79c | 88.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +9.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…a18ebacked Yes | 20c | 86.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 16c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 72.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 68.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 71c | 54.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Yes | 25c | 42.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 78c | 39.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 34.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.