TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd4e1…62a2backed No75c1,816$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.812360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes37c1,764$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.1762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No76c1,515$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.515151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes22c1,085$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.9230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes51c1,014$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.3215071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c1,006$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.121,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes24c1,001$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.754845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cc…85edbacked No78c974.81$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No10c974.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.468046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No70c971.39$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.557060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c905.12$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.5352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No57c882.72$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.9926346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes24c797.69$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.823850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c776.44$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.4733145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No77c655.41$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No49c566.07$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.335846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes23c484.59$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.131838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes39c478.05$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.54231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes22c401.39$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.763246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes25c382$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.51250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+65.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c344.55$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No62c312.56$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.85829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes23c278.83$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.723342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes64c275.28$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.032254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No63c263.33$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.286642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes75c262.46$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.455366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes38c256.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes41c252.2$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0710938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes22c229.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.869046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c227.41$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5445233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x024b…85cabacked Yes17c218.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes21c217.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.651723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No60c215.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.586943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes45c211.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.212552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes23c207.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.667343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes23c198.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes16c189.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.533432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No69c188.12$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.887953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No63c187.64$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.227149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No77c187.14$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.15261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes75c183.87$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No61c175.3$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.656936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No67c175$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3815951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes61c174.16$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.314544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No39c158.92$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes14c157.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.492441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No55c151.14$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.871735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes58c150.08$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0324349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No75c150$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.57949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes67c147.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed No27c141.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes16c136.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.682128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xded6…f649backed Yes74c133.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c130.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0129637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce7f…de96backed No77c126.8$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6330%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No66c114.65$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.672152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No50c112.43$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.262240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7a…b823backed Yes26c101.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.391030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d2…6ea7backed Yes38c101.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+125%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Yes68c100.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7626354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.54639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes24c95.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.531338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebce…f3a2backed Yes32c90.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+160.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes24c79.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.841936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes50c70.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.321,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2168…c154backed Yes27c70.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes29c61.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.742277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.3wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+78.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed No55c61.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.811850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.318155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d8…92d8backed Yes25c59.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+164.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes71c55.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.055356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes27c52.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+82.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No41c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3215649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c50.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2513144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No75c49.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7420454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0796…8264backed Yes66c48.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.61650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes30c47.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.17944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked No76c39.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.961435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked No70c39.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x453c…ae42backed Yes38c38.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+120.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes36c35.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.744949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e65…b28bbacked No62c32.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c1…5981backed Yes74c32.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No69c31.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.759050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No56c28.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.825042%21 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No65c21.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.222462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c21.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No76c19.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.987352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f04…fe55backed Yes74c18.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No76c18.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.974650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed No64c17.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.322458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed No69c17.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed No76c13.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.14560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.