Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b17b17bf8f3491a46f363305dedaf9bd45822a0a729e817f2fc96aaf50a9ad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 21,236$13,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,214.01 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 43c | 19,176$8,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,287.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 56c | 5,329$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.59 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Over | 44c | 4,735$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 4,243$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.61 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 2,234$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.48 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 44c | 2,064$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 33c | 1,972$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.57 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 28c | 1,967$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.81 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 1,803$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.84 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 1,792$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.25 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Under | 74c | 1,653$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Over | 43c | 1,591$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 57c | 1,201$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.53 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 1,135$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.97 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 28c | 1,012$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.11 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 60c | 996.35$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 952.08$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.92 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Over | 44c | 881.12$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 42c | 794.26$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 756.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 58c | 750.48$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.2 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 38c | 741.63$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.38 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Over | 44c | 676.48$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 42c | 595$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 42c | 595$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 594.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 2c | 563.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 41c | 515.24$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 41c | 500$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over | 45c | 492.2$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.49 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Under | 62c | 473.54$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 27c | 472.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 79c | 445.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 394.33$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.78 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 56c | 375$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 57c | 369.34$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 335.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 17c | 325.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 57c | 313.55$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.83 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed Under | 56c | 292.14$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 28c | 276.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 71c | 243.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 61c | 240.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 234.76$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…12e7backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 58c | 200.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 58c | 190.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 56c | 186.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 166.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 57c | 162.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 66c | 144$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 57c | 138.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 58c | 133.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 131.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Under | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Under | 58c | 121.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Over | 44c | 116.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 42c | 111.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Over | 28c | 102.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 99.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Under | 63c | 92.19$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 66c | 89.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 41c | 82.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed Under | 65c | 82.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 28c | 71.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked Under | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 43c | 67.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 61c | 63.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6772…8ef5backed Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 53.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 56c | 52.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 58c | 49.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 22c | 49.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 49.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 42c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.