Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1a8e1e9c5a4b192a9a83675a312ef7bf81bf452f390aa1eb73ea08069cdfe71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 2,315$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 1,864$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.47 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,794$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.08 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 67c | 1,006$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.23 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 37c | 996.44$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.74 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 59c | 991.93$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.69 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 39c | 956.5$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.86 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 58c | 948.27$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.27 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 44c | 919.98$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.79 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 30c | 528.66$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.84 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 400.79$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 381.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…ff5dbacked Yes | 58c | 380.39$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 349.09$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 344.27$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 307.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 230.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 41c | 207.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 56c | 176.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed Yes | 58c | 172.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 59c | 171.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 59c | 169.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 54c | 165.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked No | 73c | 97.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 91.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 69c | 91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 31c | 91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed No | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc90b…bf72backed Yes | 58c | 68.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…bfe7backed Yes | 59c | 61.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Yes | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 56c | 50.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 60c | 49.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ed…49b1backed Yes | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 68c | 44.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 67c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 58c | 43.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…4e0cbacked Yes | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 35c | 38.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…ab20backed Yes | 58c | 38.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 58c | 34.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…7205backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…045dbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 32.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…065dbacked No | 44c | 29.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +150.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…ebd9backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 46c | 24.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Yes | 56c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.