Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x011f1afcf84bc73a8f98f4705813b78e09814f55a2a4cae11c4c4eb5b90d1617
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 3,980$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.23 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 55c | 2,600$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 43c | 2,423$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.64 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,158$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 36c | 1,671$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 56c | 853.25$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.43 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Under | 44c | 699.99$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 35c | 694.45$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.96 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 52c | 629.33$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.08 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 16c | 625.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.43 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 73c | 607.47$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 36c | 582.86$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.73 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 57c | 337.43$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 44c | 300.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 263.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.73 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 229.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Under | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed Under | 48c | 220$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 218.83$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.08 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 59c | 201.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Over | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 195.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 56c | 153.07$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 57c | 142.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 142.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 57c | 140.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Under | 48c | 139.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 138.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 47c | 127.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 57c | 121.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 20c | 121.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 119.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Over | 57c | 119.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 47c | 118.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 57c | 100.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 32c | 93.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 56c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…2d13backed Over | 32c | 79.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +111%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Under | 70c | 75.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 79c | 63.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 60.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 60.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 58.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 56c | 52.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 54c | 46.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 56c | 44.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 56c | 40.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…9c45backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 31.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…3973backed Over | 56c | 30.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 65c | 30.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c02…44e5backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 70c | 24.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 46c | 22.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 53c | 22.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed Under | 78c | 18.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…c86cbacked Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5this page
- Brazil vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.