Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70d4dd879dc1d3775052ffbb1047f1e50cf1ea58bea18394243f912c1934b12f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Brazil, Croatia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Croatia | 70c | 13,578$9,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,504.61 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brazil | 29c | 1,559$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.23 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Brazil | 30c | 1,280$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Brazil | 30c | 963$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Brazil | 32c | 753.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.92 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed Brazil | 30c | 713$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Brazil | 38c | 687.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Brazil | 30c | 648.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.05 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Brazil | 30c | 638.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.07 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Brazil | 34c | 590.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.16 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Brazil | 30c | 529.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.2 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…ae1dbacked Brazil | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Brazil | 30c | 434.37$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.06 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Brazil | 30c | 431.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.97 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Brazil | 30c | 385.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.59 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Brazil | 30c | 344.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Brazil | 30c | 335.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Brazil | 30c | 334.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Brazil | 30c | 291.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Brazil | 30c | 264.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Brazil | 31c | 253.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Brazil | 30c | 246.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.34 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Croatia | 62c | 244.02$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Brazil | 31c | 242.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Brazil | 30c | 238.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Brazil | 29c | 236$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Croatia | 68c | 235.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Brazil | 33c | 201$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Brazil | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Brazil | 30c | 170.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Brazil | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Brazil | 18c | 137.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…3a99backed Croatia | 71c | 134.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed Brazil | 38c | 133.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brazil | 36c | 130.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f0…552dbacked Brazil | 29c | 123$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…5240backed Brazil | 29c | 123$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…3877backed Brazil | 29c | 122$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…3165backed Brazil | 30c | 119$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…0bbbbacked Brazil | 30c | 116$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Brazil | 30c | 115.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Croatia | 60c | 115.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Croatia | 69c | 112.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…b1b4backed Brazil | 30c | 108$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Brazil | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…cfb1backed Brazil | 29c | 105$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…c19ebacked Brazil | 29c | 104$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b11…d56dbacked Brazil | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Brazil | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Brazil | 30c | 93.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Brazil | 30c | 83.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brazil | 29c | 70.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Brazil | 37c | 65.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Brazil | 30c | 64.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Brazil | 30c | 64.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…3170backed Croatia | 71c | 61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brazil | 38c | 60.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Brazil | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…b076backed Croatia | 71c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Brazil | 30c | 55.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Croatia | 70c | 54.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Brazil | 30c | 52.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Brazil | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…f149backed Brazil | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…8bbabacked Croatia | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…aee6backed Croatia | 71c | 49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Brazil | 30c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Brazil | 30c | 46.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…df13backed Croatia | 71c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Brazil | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…782bbacked Croatia | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…daaebacked Croatia | 71c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…2a39backed Croatia | 71c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…97c8backed Croatia | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Croatia | 71c | 39.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…f863backed Brazil | 30c | 39.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…6eadbacked Croatia | 71c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…48e5backed Brazil | 30c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcf…6484backed Croatia | 71c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Brazil | 30c | 38.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Croatia | 71c | 38.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…fafabacked Croatia | 71c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…6571backed Croatia | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d24…360abacked Croatia | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +180.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c02…44e5backed Brazil | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Croatia | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…0362backed Croatia | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418c…901abacked Croatia | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…c612backed Croatia | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…751fbacked Croatia | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…6977backed Croatia | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…7bfebacked Croatia | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ae…55c6backed Croatia | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…a9e4backed Croatia | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…cb9ebacked Croatia | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…6de0backed Croatia | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…9a6dbacked Croatia | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…ab1ebacked Croatia | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Croatia | 72c | 20.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6e…9ee5backed Croatia | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)this page
- Brazil vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.