Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcb16023886cf6f719a6e96619d3799726c0818d1f37886e9f6fef34d57dd190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,575$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,149$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.42 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 24c | 1,041$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 930.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 69c | 715.3$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 36c | 581.53$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 559.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Over | 67c | 528.01$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 41c | 350.13$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 60c | 336.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 274.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 259.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 34c | 221.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 44c | 217.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Over | 80c | 194.83$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 49c | 183$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 179.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 58c | 173.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9579…44d4backed Over | 60c | 165.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…065dbacked Under | 38c | 157.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +150.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 13c | 155.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 136.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 71c | 132.66$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 77c | 129.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 9c | 112.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…fd38backed Over | 60c | 102.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 59c | 101.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 97.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 49c | 97.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 90.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 49c | 85.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 71c | 84.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…2d13backed Over | 66c | 75.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +111%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 71.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed Under | 40c | 70.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Under | 27c | 63.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 35cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…e981backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Over | 73c | 59.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Over | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 55c | 47.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 54c | 44.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 52c | 44.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…e568backed Over | 78c | 42.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Under | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…655bbacked Over | 58c | 37.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 53c | 30.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…02e1backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 79c | 23.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…22c9backed Over | 76c | 21.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 80c | 14.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…5bdcbacked Over | 80c | 12.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.54 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5this page
- Brazil vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.