TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$567,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,652 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes66c164,903$108,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,042.162138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No34c100,599$34,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,289.4713748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No34c37,910$12,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,806.5316848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No33c25,217$8,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,347.7851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No39c11,321$4,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.1985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes61c4,119$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.449055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No33c2,273$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.7212020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ad…c898backed No25c2,158$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c1,764$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.436,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes67c1,495$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.369154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No28c1,262$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.4746943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd778…0ca4backed Yes61c822.95$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.951060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb45…1a6bbacked Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No34c800$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27232037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c0…5930backed No39c769.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8123…9041backed Yes67c750.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-70%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes61c717.05$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.653161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes77c558.25$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.45534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes67c522.39$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3926344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No35c516.24$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6820758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No39c510$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.91,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick66cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes67c489.93$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.938154.3%44 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed No36c474.92$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.662536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No34c470.75$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.811,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes66c399.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed No34c301.73$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.851546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes67c299.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.735145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Yes78c257.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.591850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed No34c236.63$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.741637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89fe…4b32backed Yes60c230.87$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.071450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.355646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Yes61c204.92$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.926157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.72737%10 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed No38c196.38$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes65c192.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.317149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9675…30cbbacked Yes58c171.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2931746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cdc…0ddebacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6313954%75 W · 64 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes75c150$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.941260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes67c149.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.39156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5122…1317backed Yes67c145.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes65c143.08$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.083754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed No35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-66.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No37c138.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.741,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02f2…66e2backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes60c134.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.425244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd2…4c0bbacked Yes61c133.73$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed No35c100.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.167651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Yes71c95.04$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8913152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No29c93.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Yes66c90.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.93669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed No41c87.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.716558.8%97 W · 68 L+12.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked No37c85.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes59c85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.859641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef6a…f59abacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ab…0af0backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddbc…6965backed Yes61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes63c79.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8813550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6324340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d8…be73backed Yes68c73.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b1…0666backed No36c67.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x762d…872abacked No35c66.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe851…9471backed Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.573158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4915558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5617…38fcbacked Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.492466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe51f…5aa4backed No39c63.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked No39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.427846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d8…6ef1backed Yes70c57.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.492548%12 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Yes75c56.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2416357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x720c…662ebacked Yes66c56.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.061833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-46.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb27…88e8backed Yes61c53.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick26cpaid+69.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c5…4d7abacked No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Yes63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d81…360ebacked No34c49.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.941172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Yes61c49.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda5…830dbacked Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.183357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.185064%32 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.186647%31 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.184852.1%25 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2617…4129backed Yes61c45.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.93633.3%12 W · 24 L-6.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes78c44.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72075%15 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes67c43.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.437659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd94…2020backed Yes61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.983145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.986558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f9…e294backed Yes61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.983850%19 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1c3…b7a3backed Yes65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+158.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.416251.2%83 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.