Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee3b29df25b0814e09b0acb283b555c9e331de7584447a1ba4a9635b0824933b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $567,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,652 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 66c | 164,903$108,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,042.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 34c | 100,599$34,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,289.47 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 34c | 37,910$12,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,806.53 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 33c | 25,217$8,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,347.78 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 39c | 11,321$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.19 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 61c | 4,119$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.44 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 33c | 2,273$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.72 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed No | 25c | 2,158$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 1,764$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 67c | 1,495$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.36 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 28c | 1,262$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.47 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…0ca4backed Yes | 61c | 822.95$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…5930backed No | 39c | 769.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…9041backed Yes | 67c | 750.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 61c | 717.05$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 77c | 558.25$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 35c | 516.24$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 510$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 67c | 489.93$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.93 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 36c | 474.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.66 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 34c | 470.75$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 66c | 399.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed No | 34c | 301.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 67c | 299.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…231cbacked Yes | 78c | 257.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed No | 34c | 236.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4b32backed Yes | 60c | 230.87$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 63c | 206.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed No | 38c | 196.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…30cbbacked Yes | 58c | 171.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…0ddebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 67c | 149.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…1317backed Yes | 67c | 145.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 65c | 143.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 138.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 60c | 134.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…4c0bbacked Yes | 61c | 133.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed No | 35c | 100.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Yes | 71c | 95.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 93.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Yes | 66c | 90.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 41c | 87.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…7e6cbacked No | 37c | 85.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6a…f59abacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…0af0backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 63c | 79.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…be73backed Yes | 68c | 73.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b1…0666backed No | 36c | 67.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…872abacked No | 35c | 66.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…38fcbacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…5aa4backed No | 39c | 63.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…6ef1backed Yes | 70c | 57.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Yes | 75c | 56.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…662ebacked Yes | 66c | 56.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…88e8backed Yes | 61c | 53.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…360ebacked No | 34c | 49.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Yes | 61c | 49.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed Yes | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 78c | 44.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 67c | 43.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…b7a3backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.