Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb928b8ba028f4707257e015e7342d01b2264b6d1c574f588f1ed3fa976855e1f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $134,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,099 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Under	60c	90,069$54,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,064.41	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	40c	80,766$32,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,322	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under	65c	14,000$9,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,080.18	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over	39c	4,262$1,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,620.16	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	38c	3,999$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,479.66	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over	35c	3,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,275	92	72.8%67 W · 25 L	+20.5wins	+0.22per pick	51cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	35c	2,316$822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,494.49	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over	39c	2,308$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,407.69	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under	61c	2,000$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	35c	1,500$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	40c	1,274$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.3	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over	80c	744.05$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.81	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	37c	683.5$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.34	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Under	66c	679.94$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.36	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	41c	599.64$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.64	350	28.9%101 W · 249 L	-19.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	47c	539.44$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.5	1,923	42.4%815 W · 1,108 L	-42.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over	35c	500$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	72	68.1%49 W · 23 L	+13.8wins	+0.19per pick	49cpaid	+42%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	33c	484.96$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.93	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…7d5abacked Over	42c	406.69$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.88	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	35c	400$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	369	56.9%210 W · 159 L	+20.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over	35c	318.18$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.18	170	48.8%83 W · 87 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under	67c	298.51$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	62c	276.5$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.38	964	45.4%438 W · 526 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under	29c	273.23$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over	35c	259.55$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.71	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over	76c	251.6$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.6	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-7.3wins	-0.11per pick	64cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over	46c	250$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	33c	243.23$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.96	1,208	42.2%510 W · 698 L	-27.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	57c	210.53$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.53	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Under	40c	205.18$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.07	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0878…1374backed Over	34c	200$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.9wins	+0.42per pick	44cpaid	+107%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over	35c	180$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over	36c	176.78$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.14	253	48.2%122 W · 131 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d5…4af2backed Over	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	35c	150$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	35c	150$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	350	56.9%199 W · 151 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	35c	150$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	35c	150$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	38c	150$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.75	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	36c	150$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	193	57.5%111 W · 82 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	162	33.3%54 W · 108 L	-14.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over	38c	131.58$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.58	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	40c	125$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	35c	125$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.25	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	+21.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under	63c	106.83$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under	64c	102.97$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.51	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	34c	100$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over	38c	99.98$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.99	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over	31c	93.77$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.77	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	35c	90$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.5	323	57.6%186 W · 137 L	+17.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	33c	89.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa549…d839backed Under	67c	89.55$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	35c	85.71$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.71	407	42%171 W · 236 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	60c	75.38$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.23	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	39c	75$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.75	552	54.5%301 W · 251 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over	57c	70.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	87	64.4%56 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over	35c	70$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.5	367	58.3%214 W · 153 L	+23.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	51c	62.57$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	331	56.8%188 W · 143 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	322	55.9%180 W · 142 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	326	56.7%185 W · 141 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	327	55.7%182 W · 145 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	561	58.6%329 W · 232 L	+29.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	383	58.2%223 W · 160 L	+24.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	315	57.8%182 W · 133 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	379	58%220 W · 159 L	+24.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	321	58.6%188 W · 133 L	+18.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Over	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	26cpaid	+69.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	75c	53.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.43	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	-11.2wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over	35c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	296	57.8%171 W · 125 L	+16.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.25	276	61.6%170 W · 106 L	+22.8wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	35c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	362	59.1%214 W · 148 L	+23.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ab1…c560backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	+6.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over	38c	39.47$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.47	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac5f…eb06backed Over	51c	39.21$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.21	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+81.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	52c	38.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.7	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+21.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cf8…beb8backed Over	40c	37.5$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	46cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa20…e7e3backed Over	41c	36.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.59	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	61c	36$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over	38c	35.98$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.31	171	38.6%66 W · 105 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over	35c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	145	60%87 W · 58 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over	35c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	284	58.8%167 W · 117 L	+16.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over	35c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	277	58.8%163 W · 114 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	740	56.9%421 W · 319 L	+46.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Over	40c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	+7.9wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over	35c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	255	60%153 W · 102 L	+18.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Under	62c	29.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-7.9wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3f84…6c38backed Over	40c	27.5$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Over	39c	26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.89	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+4.1wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1107…026dbacked Under	59c	25.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.19	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	64c	21.83$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.01	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5this page
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event