Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3cddc57abbe90de771d0dc843962888c10017acceb3f49992494954c8e36b65

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $218,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,575 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over	65c	38,440$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,440.47	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	37c	35,002$13,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,125.39	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Under	0c	24,120$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over	64c	23,990$15,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,726.37	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under	35c	16,806$5,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,882.2	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	34c	11,051$3,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,806.14	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	35c	5,404$1,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,911.64	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over	58c	5,224$3,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,216.29	84	48.8%41 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2263…ac78backed Under	14c	2,230$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	40c	2,092$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.61	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc142…0f64backed Under	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over	52c	1,999$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.52	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under	42c	1,500$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over	57c	1,120$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.6	92	72.8%67 W · 25 L	+20.5wins	+0.22per pick	51cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over	65c	925.61$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.61	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under	39c	800$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+11.0wins	+0.18per pick	40cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under	43c	614.3$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.15	92	56.5%52 W · 40 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	64c	515.63$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.63	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	38c	509.19$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.05	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	72	68.1%49 W · 23 L	+13.8wins	+0.19per pick	49cpaid	+42%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	39c	454.43$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.72	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under	43c	400$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under	42c	382.67$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.72	369	56.9%210 W · 159 L	+20.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under	36c	317.5$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.3	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over	64c	312.5$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over	61c	300$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	58c	250$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over	64c	234.38$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.38	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over	58c	215.52$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.52	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…aad6backed Over	80c	187.56$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.54	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	73cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under	36c	180$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	26cpaid	+70.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over	57c	179.99$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.4	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over	57c	179.99$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.4	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over	59c	168.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.29	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	170	48.8%83 W · 87 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	107	57%61 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under	42c	150$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	57c	122.81$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.81	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	39c	105.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.52	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	62c	104$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.52	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over	68c	103.37$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.37	87	64.4%56 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	278	46.4%129 W · 149 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa86c…564dbacked Over	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	61cpaid	+65.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under	35c	97.56$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.62	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+29%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42e0…fbb1backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf72a…5d8ebacked Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	35c	85.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	210	56.7%119 W · 91 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over	66c	82$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.94	171	53.8%92 W · 79 L	+10.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	40c	80$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	171	38.6%66 W · 105 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under	37c	79.49$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.41	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over	58c	79.07$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.21	317	46.1%146 W · 171 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over	64c	78.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.12	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	61cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Over	63c	77.46$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.66	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Under	43c	69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.67	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Over	59c	67.8$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.8	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	+6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over	57c	66.67$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.67	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	55c	66.66$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	67c	65.93$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.94	188	51.6%97 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under	42c	60$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	331	56.8%188 W · 143 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under	42c	60$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	57c	60$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.8	327	55.7%182 W · 145 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under	42c	60$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	561	58.6%329 W · 232 L	+29.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	42c	60$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	383	58.2%223 W · 160 L	+24.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under	42c	60$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	315	57.8%182 W · 133 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over	59c	56.76$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.27	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed Over	64c	55.28$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.84	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over	62c	54.45$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.83	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Under	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under	35c	50.41$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	296	57.8%171 W · 125 L	+16.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c2…6443backed Over	61c	49.29$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.29	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.16per pick	62cpaid	+28%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Over	62c	47.54$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.06	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	61c	44.58$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-9.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27de…9b6abacked Over	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	250	57.6%144 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over	57c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79b1…0666backed Under	37c	37.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over	63c	36.51$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.51	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b1c8backed Over	60c	35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa20…e7e3backed Under	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9c…b478backed Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over	58c	32.6$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.69	253	48.2%122 W · 131 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	55c	32.48$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.61	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Under	37c	31.78$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Over	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Over	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under	42c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	284	58.8%167 W · 117 L	+16.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under	42c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	277	58.8%163 W · 114 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under	42c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	135	31.1%42 W · 93 L	-12.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	103	61.2%63 W · 40 L	+9.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Over	64c	27.77$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b14…b151backed Over	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5this page
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event