TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed No36c17,223$6,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,021.715752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c11,053$5,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,328.942,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes64c7,914$5,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,064.7898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Yes49c7,041$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,44060%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.971752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No36c3,910$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.445431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes64c3,189$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.968463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes64c3,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes64c3,053$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9541250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c2,603$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.441,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No36c2,572$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.072138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No36c2,338$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.0241954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes64c2,334$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.7635646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes64c2,275$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45233951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No48c2,191$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8804445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c1,836$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.9449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes29c1,748$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5071040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes29c1,600$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4592520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes64c1,558$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No37c1,555$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.079950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes54c1,470$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.954337.2%16 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No37c1,380$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.966155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Yes52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes64c995.37$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.0432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes64c929.69$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5953464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes52c800$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41710757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes49c800$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No36c774.52$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.3536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes62c699.92$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.956142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No36c684.38$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.9721548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No36c674$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.3614258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c626.75$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.622743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes64c531.25$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3404158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes64c505.45$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.493324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Yes47c499.97$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.992245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes21c495.84$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7316032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c472.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5712731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6f…a65fbacked Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes64c453.13$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Yes56c446.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes64c437.5$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes41c400$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.026155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes63c393.72$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.044955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes64c390.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes53c367.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955935.6%21 W · 38 L-11.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No38c339.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.795149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes64c327.31$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes64c313.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.387237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No36c309.96$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.381947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes42c305.33$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2110233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes63c303$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1898552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No36c296.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6824953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Yes33c285.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.021877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+59.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes64c281.59$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8513839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed No37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes64c254.97$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.183154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Yes53c254.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes32c228.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked No38c227.64$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.132240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe352…033abacked Yes61c217.85$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No37c216.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2212035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed Yes47c214.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No72c212.09$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3839740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No47c188.68$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005525.5%14 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Yes63c175.39$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.03911.1%1 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.45per pick56cpaid-81.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-65.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No38c157.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7126241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…1959backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes63c154.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes58c152$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1623345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c150.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Yes64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No65c149.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.34959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed No48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.838453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No59c145.18$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8118253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83da…41f7backed No36c130$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x387b…4367backed Yes64c125.78$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Yes9c122.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.812232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad50…1d19backed Yes64c117.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c113.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.573666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.