Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8dd677304fb83a9ab44a8b76606fe1706f3ea1bfaafe2657bd9c8122066aa23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 22c | 6,814$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,314.92 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 76c | 3,958$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.2 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 2,751$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.65 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 2,555$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.82 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,486$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.7 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 2,366$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…f8d2backed Yes | 23c | 1,443$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 1,237$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.73 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 1,223$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.56 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 78c | 679.98$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.18 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 77c | 634.49$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.56 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 591.92$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.92 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 499.69$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.92 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 58c | 491.26$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 51c | 431.01$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.78 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 69c | 364.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 343.85$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked Yes | 75c | 267.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…448ebacked Yes | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 39c | 230.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 226.66$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.53 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 211.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 43c | 206.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 78c | 189$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 55c | 182.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 32c | 156.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 23c | 131.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 80c | 125.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 124.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…8d65backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 78c | 120$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 26c | 119.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 105.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fe…a205backed No | 16c | 93.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 87.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 65c | 82.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 76.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 78c | 67.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 65c | 62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 33c | 53.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 24c | 51.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 46.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 77c | 40.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 64c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Yes | 48c | 29.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 63c | 19.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.